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Smitty’s Take: ESPN’s Adam Schefter is reporting that first-rounder Josh Allen will start the Bills’ third preseason game against the Bengals. It would be shocking if he didn’t. Frankly, it will be shocking if he isn’t the Week 1 starter. We have been screaming ‘elite’ for this kid since February or March, and I think people are starting to see the upside here. He arguably has as strong an arm as anyone already in the NFL, rivaling Aaron Rodgers, and he has looked brilliant (for a rookie) in the pocket so far this preseason. He had one bad scramble where he threw the ball away poorly, but that was in week 1. His accuracy is on point, and his footwork is veteran-like. We’ve been saying it for half a year now… this kid has ‘elite’ written all over him.
Smitty’s Take: The Redskins have signed RB Adrian Peterson to a one-year contract. Last year, AP was with the Cardinals, and he did have two big 100-yard rushing games. While I don’t envision him having a monster year or anything, I think at 33 he can still have some good numbers if ever starting games. Chris Thompson and Samaje Perine and Rob Kelley are all fighting for carries in Washington since Derrius Guice’s ACL tear… the talent level isn’t crazy-good in Washington, it is a crowded backfield. Thompson is the PPR guy to own in this backfield, although I’d say his value is borderline flex-worthy. AP and Kelley will fight for early down work, and that makes AP someone to consider at the end of your RB bench. I know, he’s 33, but look at Frank Gore at 35 (and he played ok at 34 last year). AP can’t start 16 games on a starter’s workload, he’d get hurt. But, despite a horrible YPC in AZ last year, AP looked strong during his two 100-yard outings. In some spots, eh could score points.
Smitty’s Take: Folks, I can’t scream it enough. Deshaun Watson, in hindsight, will have first-round value in 2018. His ADP is in the 4th- to 5th-round range, so clearly draft him there or you ruin so much upside/ceiling value, but I see him as arguably the most valuable fantasy football player to own in all of 2018. Bold? Yeah, I know it is, and I get called all kinds of filthy names because of this stance. Watson looked amazing on his scoring drive in his Week 2 preseason game. He looked smooth, accurate, and despite some dropped passes by some of his receivers, he masterfully marched his team down and threw a touchdown. He is the kind of player that can have 4-5TD games. He’s a monster and I’m all in in 2018. As for TE Ryan Griffin, he had horrible numbers last year on just 7 games (13-158/1TD); however, last year shouldn’t be taken into consideration. He missed time last year and his quarterback got hurt. In Week 3 with Watson, he pulled in 5 passes for 61 yards and 1TD, then vanished for most all of the year up until Week 8, when he scored his last fantasy point for 2017. His best season was the season prior (2016), where he pulled in 50 balls for 442 yards and 2TDs, but I think those are not even close to the kind of numbers he can produce in a Deshaun Watson-commanded offense. For those that didn’t watch Watson and Griffin during their Week 2 Preseason contest, there awesome rapport and interaction between the two, as Griffin was a trusted red zone target, and Griffin nearly scored on the goal line. Watson scored, thought. We only had one drive to go off of, but it was clear on this scoring drive that Watson and Griffin have a strong connection heading into 2018. Given the fact that Griffin has no ADP, meaning he is typically underrated right now, he is all upside and no risk in 2018.