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Survivor Week 11 Outlook and Beyond

So after this last week, we now have 3 games that have moved past the 4.5 favorite that it has been all year.
NOS vs Philly -7.5
LAC vs Den -7 Denver has been looking better, avoid for me and is Divisional game
Pitt at Jax -5 Jax is in shambles, but could always show up and play, Pitt isn't as good on the road either
Ari vs Oak -4 I like Arizona to win this
Bal vs Cin -4 Avoid for me
Car at Det -4 Carolina should win this

Week 11 NOS vs Phi - smooth sailing if you get past week 11.
Week 12 Bal vs Oak, this saves Phi vs Hou Week 16
Week 13 GB vs Ari
Week 14 Det at Ari, alternate Wsh vs NYG or Hou vs Indy
Week 15 Atl vs Ari
Week 16 Den at Oak alt Phi vs Hou if available
Week 17 Sea vs Ari

As I have stated, my pool is large, just under 4300 left out of over 400k on fanduel.
Any game before Noon kickoff is not eligible for me as well.

Teams I have used
Week 1 Steelers
Week 2 Rams
Week 3 Bears
Week 4 Jags
Week 5 Panthers
Week 6 Vikings
Week 7 Colts
Week 8 Pats
Week 9 Chiefs
Week 10 Chargers
QB: Cousins
RB: Mixon
RB: Hunt
WR: Julio
WR: MThomas
WR: Golladay
Flex: Woods
TE: Kittle
DST: 49ers

Bench
QB Arod
RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
TE: D Waller

Comments

  • DonDon Posts: 5,436
    This is knockout week so we should spend some time on it. (I've used NO, LAC, CAR, BAL so I'll focus on the remaining)

    ARZ vs OAK isn't bad. OAK is the worst team in football and they've completely given up. Now they've lost Bryant and Cooper. I don't think Jordy ,Cook, and Dmart are gonna move the ball very much against their D. But the flip side is Rosen has looked at most times like a typical struggling rookie and how hard to trust him in a must win.

    PIT @ JAC is intriguing. JAC just let it all out against IND and came up short. At 3-6 they're not mathematically eliminated but after losing 5 in a row they have to be down. PIT starters had the 4th qtr off and 10 day mini bye to get healthy. Fournette did look great last week and should help the offense tremendously and Ben doesn't have the greatest road record and that is still a very talented secondary. Maybe JAC is due for a win. It's very scary to me, but not many options

  • The SAINTS at home to me are the safest play in the board as they look to keep pace with the rams for home field. I've seen the line creep past 9 at a few places.

    PITTSBURGH will be a popular public play which always scares me.

    Tough week. Best of luck
  • DonDon Posts: 5,436
    edited November 2018
    Still leaning PIT over Jax here, especially when Conner healthy. But rumors of Jordy out have me contemplating AZ. No Cooper, Bryant, or Jordy. Don’t see how they’re gonna move the ball with 8 in the box. I just hate gambling on bad teams which Az is

    If it changes anything the whole league has used LAC, and NO meaning PIT is probably the community pick. Picking AZ and the Steelers losing is likely winner winner chicken dinner
  • wh0urdadywh0urdady Posts: 3,620
    Oakland really hasn't been using any of those 3 wrs the last few weeks. I like Ari to win against Oakland, as it appears Oakland is trying to outright tank.
    Pitt is a solid pick, you just never know what Jags team will show up, especially since Fournette is back.6
    QB: Cousins
    RB: Mixon
    RB: Hunt
    WR: Julio
    WR: MThomas
    WR: Golladay
    Flex: Woods
    TE: Kittle
    DST: 49ers

    Bench
    QB Arod
    RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
    WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
    TE: D Waller
  • DonDon Posts: 5,436
    I've changed my pick from PIT to AZ for a couple reasons. Jordy ruled out now. I looked forward and I would like to have PIT available for week 14 @OAK
  • We need to pick 2 teams this week. I went with LAC/CHI & IND/ARI

  • wh0urdadywh0urdady Posts: 3,620
    Wow, wish jags had held on. Rough week this week for sure.
    QB: Cousins
    RB: Mixon
    RB: Hunt
    WR: Julio
    WR: MThomas
    WR: Golladay
    Flex: Woods
    TE: Kittle
    DST: 49ers

    Bench
    QB Arod
    RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
    WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
    TE: D Waller
  • DonDon Posts: 5,436
    Wow. My pool is over. 1 took CAR, 1 took PIT, 3 took AZ. Including me who changed my pick from PIT to AZ. I watched both games. There’s no way PIT should have won and no way AZ should have lost. Lesson learned from me is don’t bet on bad teams. They’ll find away to give the game away
  • wh0urdadywh0urdady Posts: 3,620
    Sorry to hear that Don. Hope to get your thoughts on later weeks.
    QB: Cousins
    RB: Mixon
    RB: Hunt
    WR: Julio
    WR: MThomas
    WR: Golladay
    Flex: Woods
    TE: Kittle
    DST: 49ers

    Bench
    QB Arod
    RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
    WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
    TE: D Waller
  • wh0urdadywh0urdady Posts: 3,620
    Looks like we dropping down on fanduel to 2k people left, had Pitt not came back it would be 1300-1400
    QB: Cousins
    RB: Mixon
    RB: Hunt
    WR: Julio
    WR: MThomas
    WR: Golladay
    Flex: Woods
    TE: Kittle
    DST: 49ers

    Bench
    QB Arod
    RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
    WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
    TE: D Waller
  • wh0urdadywh0urdady Posts: 3,620
    I really expected cardinals defense to win that game...
    QB: Cousins
    RB: Mixon
    RB: Hunt
    WR: Julio
    WR: MThomas
    WR: Golladay
    Flex: Woods
    TE: Kittle
    DST: 49ers

    Bench
    QB Arod
    RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
    WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
    TE: D Waller
  • Both my teams got knocked out by separate last second FGs!

  • wh0urdadywh0urdady Posts: 3,620

    Both my teams got knocked out by separate last second FGs!

    ouch!
    QB: Cousins
    RB: Mixon
    RB: Hunt
    WR: Julio
    WR: MThomas
    WR: Golladay
    Flex: Woods
    TE: Kittle
    DST: 49ers

    Bench
    QB Arod
    RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
    WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
    TE: D Waller
  • wh0urdadywh0urdady Posts: 3,620
    Made it through Week 12, next week should be easy. Week 14 and 15 starting to worry me with Detroit and Atlanta vs cardinals
    QB: Cousins
    RB: Mixon
    RB: Hunt
    WR: Julio
    WR: MThomas
    WR: Golladay
    Flex: Woods
    TE: Kittle
    DST: 49ers

    Bench
    QB Arod
    RB: Guice, Love, Swift, Breida, Coleman, DThompson, Darrel Williams
    WR: Ruggs, Claypool, Agholor, Higgins, Keesean Johnson
    TE: D Waller
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