When to Ignore ADP?

smitty fantasy football advice

If you are anything close to being a serious fantasy football owner, you know all about ADP (Average Draft Position) Data, which is essentially compiled mock draft data that suggests where, on average, players are typically getting drafted.

I am a HUGE believer in using ADP Data to your advantage. In fact, I consider it one of the most important aspects of fantasy football… if you don’t use Average Draft Position rankings properly when you have your original draft, or when you factor in trade values, you will never ‘get ahead’ and acquire that impossible-type team. That’s the goal, right? To have a team that others say out loud, “how the heck did he get that team?”

So, now to the fun part..

Question: When should one ignore ADP Data?

Answer: Every situation is uniquely different. There is no for sure answer.

So, taking a current average of current ADPs out there on the Web (as of 4/12/2017), I will identify players I would Significantly Reach For, in a sense ignoring ADPs. I will also speak to the flip side, players I feel are NOT worth their going ADP rank. Note: All other players not identified below should be attained at, or very near, their going ADP rank, or I have no real opinion regarding their current ADP.

ADP Data as of 4/12/2017

4/12/17: This Mock Draft Data was compiled using several 2017 ADPs

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6 Comments

  1. Masson on April 12, 2017 at 6:07 pm

    Nice article Smitty.
    In redraft leagues if these ADPs dont change much I really hope to land a top 3 pick in my yearly redraft
    One of Zeke, DJ or Bell with Cooper and Hopkins is a dream start

    • Smitty on April 13, 2017 at 1:45 am

      Thanks, Masson. Nice work on that team. I love Coop and Hopkins right now in dynasty, and if you have them like you do, hold onto them. In redraft, getting both WRs seems doable while still getting a stud RB in the first.

      • Masson on April 13, 2017 at 2:29 am

        Oh was just talking strictly redraft here. I have one yearly redraft I’ve been in forever now and just saying dream start would be to draw a top 1-3 pick for a RB then hopefully land Coop and Hopkins on that 2nd/3rd round turn.
        Do have a lot of guys on my dynasty though that you mention as sleepers here

  2. Sean Connors on April 13, 2017 at 3:08 am

    M Bryant’s is 103 on fantasy pros right now obviously he hadn’t been reinstated yet but looks to be fabulous value once his adp has settled

    • Smitty on April 13, 2017 at 12:26 pm

      Yep. He’s a great buy low in dynasty.

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