Week 9 Buy-Lows: Gurley, Hopkins, Moncrief

smitty fantasy football advice

As we head into Week 9, it’s time to take a hard look at Buy-Lows, but from a dynasty angle. Of course, many of these buy-low opportuniteis will be equally beneficial in redraft, and I’ll mention that within each write-up when relevant, so this article will attack all formats. Let’s get to it!

Dynasty Buy-Lows Entering Week 9

Todd Gurley

Todd Gurley | RB Rams

Ok, no one is going to sell you Todd Gurley at RB2-type value in dynasty, although, in redraft, you can absolutely catch someone selling way too low, especially if that owner is worried that they may not even make their 2016 league playoffs. So, try to get Gurley at high-end RB2-type value! I was able to get him at this value in one league last week, it’s possible. Back to dynasty… so, the kind of value Gurley can be had at in dynasty seems to float around the DeMarco Murray, Lamar Miller and even Jay Ajayi range. Assuming he stays healthy all year, I have no questions about drafting Gurley in the top 1-6 overall range in any 2017 start-up dynasty draft. In my opinion, Gurley will never again see value outside of the top 10 overall, and that’s about where he is being valued in dynasty right now. Buy-low! This is low-risk and super, super-high reward.

DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins | WR Texans

DeAndre Hopkins is in the same situation as Todd Gurley up above… the guy is being valued near the bottom of all WR1s in both redraft and dynasty, and slightly lower in redraft in some cases. This is a monster steal. Even with a struggling passing game in Houston, elite WRs like Hopkins find a way to pull in passes, and often times, struggling teams are throwing more-than-expected passes in the third- and fourth-quarters each and every week. In dynasty, Hopkins is a monster low-risk steal and he remains in my top 1-4WRs in dynasty and he is still a top 4-7WR for me this year for Weeks 9-16.

Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson | WR Jags

Allen Robinson has been a buy-low candidate for eight-straight weeks now… when is it time to give up on the idea of him being an elite fantasy WR1? I say don’t give up at all, not in terms of dynasty. He is proven, the skill is there, and while there is a chance Jacksonville still has QB problems in 2017, I’ll bank on things improving from here on out and especially during 2017. It’s time to buy-low in dynasty. The dude is a fantasy WR1, folks. He is a beast. Don’t let a bad situation, that could easily turn round even this year, have you running away from this amazing buy-low opportunity.

Jarvis Landry

Jarvis Landry | WR Dolphins

I think many don’t realize how good of a season Jarvis Landry is having in both the yards and receptions departments. He had a bye in Week 8, but if you pace-out his 7-played games this year, he is on pace for 105 receptions and 1,307 yards. That’s an impressive season in those stat categories. Of course, he only has 1TD this year, and that’s where the doubt and disappointment kick in. But, this has everything to do with Tannehill and that Miami coaching staff/game planning. I firmly believe things will only improve, if not this year, then next year, so I think we will see a huge 2017 campaign by Landry, and we might even see him have more TDs moving forward. Mix that with his already-awesome yards/receptions production, and you have yourself a low-end fantasy WR1.

Donte Moncrief

Donte Moncrief | WR Colts

The guy was a monster breakout on almost everyone’s preseason rankings… injuries have many ‘moving on’, and that’s a great thing for people looking to build for next year and potentially down the stretch this year should he bounce-back big-time from injury.

Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott | QB Cowboys

I realize the guy is very much in the spotlight now, and at a glance, you’d think now wouldn’t be a time to buy-low. The thing is, though, the passer is still on waivers in some larger leagues, and for some crazy reason, there is still some “Will he be starting after Week 9” talk floating around. People either love or hate this guy, and the almost-even divide has him still very much undervalued. And, while he is getting better and better each week from a fantasy perspective, he is still kind of a borderline QB1 in larger leagues, meaning he won’t cost an arm and a leg to acquire via trade. The attractive part about buying him low, though, is that many are almost recklessly-assuming that he won’t get better. It’s not that people are forgetting that he is a rookie, they are almost ignoring the fact that he is a rookie. He will only improve each and every season, and in one year from today, he could be cranking out consistent top 5-8 fantasy quarterback numbers. Imagine if he improved. He was a Bold Prediction for a reason — he has a bright future!

3 Comments

  1. Smitty on November 1, 2016 at 12:14 am

    Thoughts on these names? Other names?

    • dude on November 2, 2016 at 1:56 pm

      Good points on all the names. I’ve got a few other names and one I’m waivering on:

      Cory Coleman- Can be had for ridiculously cheap in Dynasty right now (ideally a few weeks ago though)

      Smallwood/Gillislee/Kelley- Get them on your team for cheap now and see how the offseason plays out. Thoughts on the highest future ceiling of the three?

      Ameer Abdullah? Same thing. Ridiculously cheap, potential stud next year (or could be Jahvid Best/D. Washington could take over next year).

  2. Smitty on November 2, 2016 at 9:32 pm

    Yes @dude – Coleman is a great, great buy-low. In fact, you trigged me to craft up a Stock Market Addition on it. Look for it!

    Smallwood seems to be falling out of the mix, but that can change. Kelley has huge upside.

    Abdullah… tough to say.

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