Interested in selling high on three players that might have inflated value?
I say “might” because all three very well could retain somewhat close to their currently-inflated value all season.
So why sell?
For two reasons… 1) they have a high likelihood of falling from grace, 2) worst-case, if they do stay at their current value, you’re trading for players at that same value, so you break even even if you assume wrong about a fall from grace.
Ok, so what three players am I talking about? Let’s start with the guy that played already (Thursday night)…
He has back-to-back 100-yard games, with TDs in each contest… that’s pretty solid. Can he continue this play? Yes, as mentioned above, he most certainly can, and I am not calling him a bust. However, I’m not asking that you consider selling him low, or at value that you drafted him at. His current play might allow you to sell him off the bounce, at his highest value point… this allows you to buy a player that typically sits a tier above him.
Joe Mixon, Mark Ingram come to mind as guys you could try and target, and if you don’t mid going across position, Tyreek Hill comes to mind.
If you want to give up something more, in a 2-for-1, you could even aim higher for let’s say a Christian McCaffrey or Mike Evans.
Again, this only works if you buy a player in the tier above him (prior to his bounce in value). If you can’t pull that off, keep the guy, he’s playing fantastic.
What has 354, 316 and 333? And, also has 6, 3 and 2? It’s a little thing called Mitchell Trubisky’s stat line over his last three games.
So why sell him? Again, the theme here is ONLY sell if you can sell at the tier level that he’s currently playing in, which is an entire tier (or more) above his August draft value. So, if he continues to play awesome, no problem, you should trade into a player laterally at his currently-new value. If it’s me, I try packaging him in a 2-for-1 for a Tom Brady, Drew Brees or an Aaron Rodgers. Now, those three are in a tier kind of above Trubisky (even at his currently-high value), so as mentioned, giving more is a way to upgrade into a top 1-5QB.
The guy has had a big 2018, and he has back-to-back 100-yard games with a TD in each one. Like with Trubisky above, I try doing a 2-for-1 here. But, he could get you high-end WR2-type value right now via trade (on a 1-for-1).