July 2017 ADP Rankings

smitty fantasy football advice

Below you will find a fresh set of 2017 ADP Rankings (Average Draft Position), which was compiled using an average of some of the best ADP Data lists out there. For most every fantasy player inside the top 70 overall, I have provided fantasy football commentary/analysis. This ADP Data is redraft-based and based on a mix of PPR and non-PPR. Enjoy.

2017 ADP Rankings

Updated: 7/5/17

ADPAs of 7/9/18PosTeamComment
1.01Todd GurleyRBLARWhile there are 3-4 players worth the 1.01, it's hard to argue against Gurley in 2018.
1.02LeVeon BellRBPITHard to argue taking the stud anywhere in the top 1-4 overall. He has taken a beating, but I'd easily invest a 1.01 on him in at least one league if let's say I had the 1.01 in a few different drafts.
1.03Ezekiel ElliottRBDALAs said with LBell, if I had the 1.01 in let's say three drafts, I would grab Zeke with one of those 1.01 selections. I wouldn't put all my eggs in one basket, but in one league I would absolutely take the chance. That gives you a feel for the mix of risk and reward that comes along with him in 2018.
1.04David JohnsonRBARIIn PPR, he is arguably the 1.01. Many forget how awesome he is in PPR, and even non-PPR... his ADP has sat this low, or lower, all off-season long. Take full advantage!
1.05Antonio BrownWRPITEasily top 1-4 for all WRs in all formats, and 1-2 for me in redraft. He has 1.01 value in PPR, yet his ADP seems to be settling in around 1.06-1.07 this year, which is fantastic value.
1.06Alvin KamaraRBNOWith M-Ingram starting the season suspended, Kamara will kickoff the year with more touches than he can handle. this should spell top 1-5 fantasy start for the rusher, and if healthy, I think he finishes in that range, if healthy, on the year.
1.07Leonard FournetteRBJAXI call for potential bust out of Fournette this year. The expectations are just too high for a player that has a proven injury history. He takes so much abuse with his rushing style, one that doesn't bring in a ton of PPR love either.
1.08DeAndre HopkinsWRHOUWorth a 1.05 in PPR, it's odd to see his PPR value around 1.08. This is great news, though, as it helps build in a little risk should he struggle to completely duplicate last year's stats. With Watson back, though, expect big things yet again. We are!
1.09Kareem HuntRBKCIt's tough not liking Hunt heading into 2018, as that KC offense will lean on him even more this year. I can easily see double-digit scores for the stud, and if healthy, I think a top 4-5RB season is in the cards.
1.10Saquon BarkleyRBNYGLike any rookie, you wonder about rookie walls, being eased into things, sure, but Barkley is special... New York will use him early and often, and if he doesn't hit a rookie wall, I can envision double-digit scores and well over 1,400 total ru/rec yards. This might be your 1.01 or 1.02 in all leagues/formats this time next year.
1.11Melvin GordonRBLACHe is so very underrated. The guy, if healthy, is money for 10 scores and top 5 PPR goodness.
1.12Odell Beckham JrWRNYGSome might say you can't get a steal in the top 12, but Beckham has 1.01 overall upside and can be had at the bottom of the first-round. That's tremendous value, folks.
2.01Dalvin CookRBMINA PPR beast ready to rebound. A slow start is possible coming of his season-ending ACL injury last year... but, all in all, he has top 5-10RB appeal in 2018 and beyond.
2.02Julio JonesWRATLHe still has top 5 overall upside. So, this is amazing value with little risk. Huge upside here!
2.03Devonta FreemanRBATLDoubt continues to circle, but why? He's 26 and just (less than 365 days ago) signed a $43 million dollar contract that makes him the very highest-paid runner in the entire league (on a long-term deal). Talk about job security! Let doubters doubt.
2.04Michael ThomasWRNOHe could take a big step forward this year, but it does appear most everyone is expect this. He can still earn this value, though.
2.05LeSean McCoyRBBUFYou know, I had my doubts last season that the guy would stay healthy. I'm changing my stance this year, I give him one more great year, and in dynasty, he is a great veteran add because you can buy him very low.
2.06Jordan HowardRBCHINot a PPR machine, and T-Cohen is on our Bold Predictions this year. Still, 10TDs is possible for Howard, and 1200 yards is as well. That makes him a top 10-12RB.
2.07Davante AdamsWRGBThis seems high for a guy that still has some risk. I am not calling bust, i just believe there are safer options in the 2nd.
2.08Keenan AllenWRLACI like Allen, but I still have some concerns making him my second-drafted player. I'm not calling bust, just a bit of caution at this level.
2.09A.J. GreenWRCINI think Green is super undervalued this year, and he, like Julio, has top 5-7WR upside (but at a cost that is much, much lower).
2.10Mike EvansWRTBHe has risk, but he also has top 5WR upside. That makes him a bargain at 2.10, folks. He was a top 5 pick in many formats last year.
2.11Jerick McKinnonRBSFTop 5-10RB capable in any format, but he has risk that warrants pumping the breaks. This value has a decent balance of risk/reward.
2.12Christian McCaffreyRBCARStrong, strong value, as the guy had 80 receptions last year with limited rushing attempts. They will likely feed him the same receiving workload in 2018, and way more rushes. That equals steal at 2.12.
3.01Joe MixonRBCINThis seems high given the options still remaining. I just don't trust Mixon. Not yet, anyway.
3.02Derrick HenryRBTENLewis is a threat, and until Henry falls deep into the 40 (and beyond) overall range, I just can't see investing. It's a shame, because before the Lewis signing, he had top 5-10 written all over him.
3.03Rob GronkowskiTENENot horrible value for a guy still capable of 900/10+ receiving. But, he does smell about 50/50 bust/bounce-back.
3.04Tyreek HillWRKCI know the numbers are there to warrant this value, but it is tough for me to make Tyreek my third-drafted player.
3.05Aaron RodgersQBGBWhile there is an argument on waiting on a QB these days, as the elite fantasy QB pool seems bigger than ever, it's still important to factor in Rodgers' 40TD potential. If you score 40TDs, something he can do during any old season, you can arguably have top 1-5 overall value in hindsight. I take Rodgers or Watson in the middle-to-late third-round without hesitation. Waiting on a Wentz or Brady is also a strong strategy, this is the season you can make any QB approach work if you plan correctly.
3.06Doug BaldwinWRSEAThe stats back-up this value, but I still snag other options before I invest in Baldwin.
3.07Adam ThielenWRMINTough to draft him as my third-drafted player, despite the huge 2017. Give me him later all day long, but not this high.
3.08Travis KelceTEKCWith Mahomes tossing him the ball, Kelce finally holds 10+ TD appeal. Given he has 80 reception, 1000-yard upside as well, this screams one of the bigger steals in 2018.
3.09Jay AjayiRBPHIPHI and coach Staley seem to want to feed him starter touches. I love Clement regardless, and this could be a Howard/Cohen type of deal, where both PHI backs produce.
3.10Josh GordonWRCLEThis is a high ADP given all the doubt all of us have. Even his biggest believers have huge concerns, but the upside is still monstrous. I like him more in the 4th, but this is an arguable spot.
3.11T.Y. HiltonWRINDI feel his ADP climbed more than it should have, as I have him pegged as a sleeper and bounce-back candidate, but his ADP keeps climbing. He has top 10WR appeal, for sure.
3.12Deshaun WatsonQBHOUThe guy has upside for 4000 yards, 35+TDs (with 500/4+ TD rushing upside) and he holds a 3.10 ADP. Does anyone else not see possibly "steal of all 2018" right here?
4.01Alex CollinsRBBALBig risk, big upside.
4.02Kenyan DrakeRBMIAHuge upside with significant risk. I love Drake, but my only doubt sits with the decision-making going on year after year in Miami. Do they know what they have in Drake? That's my only built-in concern here. Unleash the kid, Miami!
4.03Amari CooperWROAKDecent value, and the risk is still kind of built in at this 4.3 value.
4.04Stefon DiggsWRMIN
4.05Derrius GuiceRBWAS
4.06Lamar MillerRBHOU
4.07Rashaad PennyRBSEA
4.08Brandin CooksWRLAR
4.09Zach ErtzTEPHI
4.10JuJu Smith-SchusterWRPIT
4.11Alshon JefferyWRPHI
4.12Mark IngramRBNO
5.01Allen RobinsonWRCHI
5.02Jimmy GrahamTEGB
5.03Sony MichelRBNE
5.04Demaryius ThomasWRDEN
5.05Tom BradyQBNEWith a 5th-round ADP, there is a lot to like about drafting Tom Brady in 2018. He can easily be a top 12 overall scorer and top 1-5QB. He still has the skill, even if just for 1-2 more seasons, or even 1.5 seasons. I love this value in 2018.
5.06Larry FitzgeraldWRARI
5.07Jordy NelsonWROAK
5.08Ronald JonesRBTBOne of our biggest sleepers this year. This could be this year's Kamara.
5.09Royce FreemanRBDENHuge sleeper.
5.10Drew BreesQBNOHe dropped off big-time last year, but due to how much running NO did, not because Brees lacks skill. I think NO will run a lot again in 2018, but they may pass more and get Brees closer to 30TDs again. That makes Brees a potential value grab given many fear he won't bounce-back much.
5.11Russell WilsonQBSEAHe was amazing last year and the addition of Penny should help him get near those same numbers, give or take some TDs and some rushing yards.
5.12Marvin JonesWRDETThis is quite high, but deserving if you just look at the stats. I think I try and steal him later vs. paying the price tag that is attached to him right here.
6.01Greg OlsenTECAREqual parts risk/reward right here.
6.02Evan EngramTENYG
6.03Carson WentzQBPHIWhat a steal. The guy is my #2 QB for the future, and still floating around the 2-4 range for redraft. He and Watson are the future. It's nice to see him undervalued heading into 2018 drafts!
6.04Golden TateWRDET
6.05Marshawn LynchRBOAK
6.06Carlos HydeRBCLE
6.07Jarvis LandryWRCLE
6.08Tevin ColemanRBATL
6.09Will FullerWRHOU
6.10Dion LewisRBTEN
6.11Michael CrabtreeWRBAL
6.12Cam NewtonQBCARWith Moore and a healthy Olsen, the weapons are there for Cam and McCaffrey to both finish top 5-8 at their position.
7.01Chris HoganWRNE
7.02Marlon MackRBIND
7.03Kyle RudolphTEMIN
7.04Sammy WatkinsWRKC
7.05Jimmy GaroppoloQBSFOur deep sleeper from years ago finally gets his shot, and he should be top 5QB good this year. Get ready.
7.06Kirk CousinsQBMINGreat spot and lots of gifted hands around to pull in passes. I think top 5-10QB stats is a safe bet in this situation.
7.07Julian EdelmanWRNEHis official suspension should have this ADP falling more and more as the post-suspension mocks add up on top of this data.
7.08Delanie WalkerTETEN
7.09Corey DavisWRTEN
7.10Rex BurkheadRBNE
7.11Aaron JonesRBGBHis suspension should have his ADP slowly declining as the mocks pile up.
7.12Devin FunchessWRCAR
8.01LeGarrette BlountRBDET
8.02Trey BurtonTECHI
8.03Jordan ReedTEWAS
8.04Tarik CohenRBCHIOn our Bold Predictions for the second-straight year. Get some! Cohen could have a huge season, and this 8th-round ADP is ridiculously-low. There is almost no risk.
8.05Pierre GarconWRSF
8.06Kerryon JohnsonRBDET
8.07Jared GoffQBLAR
8.08Emmanuel SandersWRDEN
8.09Nick ChubbRBCLE
8.10Jamaal WilliamsRBGB
8.11Marquise GoodwinWRSF
8.12Robert WoodsWRLAR
9.01Isaiah CrowellRBNYJ
9.02Jacksonville DefenseDEFJAX
9.03Randall CobbWRGB
9.04CJ AndersonRBCAR
9.05DeVante ParkerWRMIA
9.06Andrew LuckQBIND
9.07LA Rams DefenseDEFLAR
9.08Chris ThompsonRBWAS
9.09Doug MartinRBOAK
9.10Kelvin BenjaminWRBUF
9.11Matt RyanQBATL
9.12Derek CarrQBOAK
10.01Cooper KuppWRLAR
10.02Donta ForemanRBHOU
10.03Matthew StaffordQBDET
10.04Minnesota DefenseDEFMIN
10.05Allen HurnsWRDAL
10.06Tyler EifertTECIN
10.07Corey ClementRBPHI
10.08Martavis BryantWROAK
10.09Philip RiversQBLAC
10.10Robby AndersonWRNYJ
10.11Jamison CrowderWRWAS
10.12Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT
11.01Houston DefenseDEFHOU
11.02Denver DefenseDEFDEN
11.03LA Chargers DefenseDEFLAC
11.04Nelson AgholorWRPHI
11.05Sterling ShepardWRNYG
11.06Devontae BookerRBDEN
11.07Calvin RidleyWRATL
11.08Ty MontgomeryRBGB
11.09Latavius MurrayRBMIN
11.10Patrick MahomesQBKC
11.12Jack DoyleTEIND
12.01Marcus MariotaQBTEN
12.02DJ MooreWRCAR
12.03Marqise LeeWRJAX
12.04Jameis WinstonQBTB
12.05Chris CarsonRBSEA
12.06Mike WilliamsWRLAC
12.07Duke JohnsonRBCLE
12.08New Orleans DefenseDEFNO
12.09Josh DoctsonWRWAS
12.10Rishard MatthewsWRTEN
12.11O.J. HowardTETB
12.12Cameron MeredithWRNO
13.01Philadelphia DefenseDEFPHI
13.02Greg ZuerleinPKLAR
13.03Baltimore DefenseDEFBAL
13.04George KittleTESF
13.05Dede WestbrookWRJAX
13.06Case KeenumQBDEN
13.07Dak PrescottQBDAL
13.08Alex SmithQBWAS
13.09Kenny StillsWRMIA
13.10Justin TuckerPKBAL
13.11Frank GoreRBMIA
13.12Jake ElliottPKPHI
14.01Peyton BarberRBTB
14.02Stephen GostkowskiPKNE
14.03Spencer WareRBKC
14.04David NjokuTECLE
14.05Giovani BernardRBCIN
14.06Bilal PowellRBNYJ
14.07New England DefenseDEFNE
14.08Michael GallupWRDAL
14.09Eli ManningQBNYG
14.10Geronimo AllisonWRGB
14.11Brandon MarshallWRSEA
14.12Tyler LockettWRSEA
15.01Matt BreidaRBSF
15.02Chicago DefenseDEFCHI
15.03Jordan MatthewsWRNE
15.04Mitch TrubiskyQBCHI
15.05Paul RichardsonWRWAS
15.06Mike GesickiTEMIA

3 Comments

  1. Colts26luck on August 20, 2017 at 7:54 pm

    Smitty,
    I used to use FFS as my go to draft board with the projections and the listing based upon my teams projected points, and won 2 of my 3 leagues last year. I used this site as well and your top 10 breakouts, etc. What’s the best tool to use for that on SleeperU regarding custom points? Is it the mock draft board? Is there anything that can combine the projections with your mock draft board, so I can figure out what’s my best option with available guys?

    Thanks,
    Rob

  2. Rich Varrato on August 23, 2017 at 10:55 pm

    When will this be updated???

    • Smitty on August 24, 2017 at 12:58 am

      I’ll update one in the next 24 hours.

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