smitty fantasy football advice

What a great day for fantasy football, as a grip of big-name players have found new and exciting homes, and one resigned with his current team. Let’s breakdown today’s signings!

Lamar Miller | RB TexansTexans

The Texans and Lamar Miller have agreed to terms on a four-year, $26 million contract. The deal includes $14 million in guarantees and is worth $6.5 million per year. Miller was our No. 1 Bold prediction two years ago, as we called him the biggest upcoming breakout running back in football (that season). His coaching staff refused to feed him a full-time workload, so his breakout has been a bit delayed. However, his time is now, and I still firmly believe that he has high-end RB1-type skills. He can easily be a top 5RB in fantasy football in 2016 and beyond. Congrats to all that own the guy, his stock is currently exploding!

What does this mean for Jay Ajayi? Well, we’ve been talking up Ajayi on our Bold Predictions List since November, so congrats to all who bought early and bought low… buying low is likely no longer an option, nor is it smart given the NFL Draft is coming up. It was buy-low and cash in or nothing… so, it’s time to wait and see if Miami addresses the RB position later (NFL Draft or Free Agency). If they don’t, watch out, and read more on Ajayi here.

Read More Bold Predictions

Matt Forte | RB Jets

The Jets and Matt Forte have agreed to terms and the 30-year-old rusher now takes over Chris Ivory’s lead running back role, as Ivory is now in Jacksonville ruining both his and TJ Yeldon’s value. Forte easily has one elite season left, so if healthy, expect top 3-7 fantasy running back numbers out of the guy!

Doug Martin | RB Bucs

The Buccaneers and Doug Martin have agreed to terms on a five-year, $35.75 million deal, which includes $15 million in guarantees. Martin is 27, and he has disappointed fantasy football owners before. I am NOT calling him a bust, or suggesting that anyone sell the guy even close to low, but it’s not a bad idea to springboard off this news in attempts to sell him on the high. And, I mean on the high, I wouldn’t even sell him at fair market value. This news will have many excited about the guy, and rightly so, as Tampa was the safest place for him to continue thriving… all that said, in dynasty, I’d much rather have the 1.01, or a doubted Devonta Freeman. While those might not be trade options in your league, as every league/owner is different, it’s something I’d consider, that’s all I’m saying.

Brock Osweiler | QB Texans

The Texans and Brock Osweiler have agreed to terms on a four-year, $72 million deal. Let me start off by saying, I am 50/50 on Osweiler. Or, shall I say I was. Handing him an elite rushing attack led by Lamar Miller, and then give him a top 1-3 NFL receiver in DeAndre Hopkins and you now have yourself a better player. I love this move and I love where the Texans are headed. Osweiler may never be an Andrew Luck or Aaron Rodgers, but he is efficient enough with the right offensive support (which he now absolutely has) that he keeps all the fantasy football pieces fed nicely. This signing helps solidify Hopkins as a top 1-3 fantasy wide receiver for a decade to come.

Marvin Jones | WR Lions

The Lions and Marvin Jones have agreed to terms on a five-year, $40 million contract. I like this landing spot in some ways, but don’t be so quick to think Golden Tate isn’t the No.1 in DET still.

Coby Fleener | TE Saints

The Saints and Coby Fleener have agreed to a five-year, $36 million deal. This is an ideal spot for Fleener, who could easily produce top 5TE numbers in such a situation. Great spot!

Pick-up Chase Daniel and Robert Griffin III

ESPN’s Adam Schefter is reporting that free agent Robert Griffin III could visit with Denver. Even if he doesn’t land in Denver, we like the odds of him finding a legit home to rebound from.

Sam Bradford landed a bigger contract in Philly, but Daniel’s contract is larger than backup figures at three years, $21 million (with another $15 million available through incentives). Just grab him if you are in larger leagues, he’s worth waiting on in leagues where QBs are hard to come by.


  1. Avatar Whos_Ur_Doggie on March 9, 2016 at 8:11 pm

    Lions agreed to terms with WR Marvin Jones, formerly of the Bengals, on a five-year, $40 million contract.

    The deal contains $17 million guaranteed. It’s a nice chunk of change for Jones, who has big shoes to fill as Calvin Johnson’s replacement as the new No. 1 receiver. It’ll be a more collective effort to replace Megatron, but there are a ton of balls to be caught in OC Jim Bob Cooter’s offense. Jones will be the preferred option in the red zone, along with third-year TE Eric Ebron, who the Lions hope will make a gigantic leap. Jones caught 10 touchdowns in 2013. Mar 9 – 2:53 PM

  2. Avatar Whos_Ur_Doggie on March 9, 2016 at 8:12 pm

    Looks like the Loins are viewing Jones as their WR1. ;0)

    • Smitty Smitty on March 9, 2016 at 9:07 pm

      Yeah, I hear ya, and I was speaking to just that type of news on it. I’m just saying, don’t count Tate out as the WR1 there in DET still. Meaning, both are gonna fight for the most targets, both could be solid. You like Marvin a lot, Doggie?

  3. Smitty Smitty on March 9, 2016 at 9:28 pm

    Fleener just signed with the Saints. Wow. I updated that above. Thoughts? Doggie?

    • Avatar footballchix on March 10, 2016 at 2:41 am

      ^Maybe Brees can make him a star like his other TE’s. I plan to draft him low.

      • Smitty Smitty on March 13, 2016 at 7:07 pm

        He should make him top 5-10 easy.

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