smitty fantasy football advice

I started to write the 2017 Bust Candidates, but because I have a recent post on that topic right here, I decided to quickly change directions tonight and lock down a recent Bounce-Back Candidates article heading into April of 2017. Who are the players worth buying low on heading into 2017 fantasy football dynasty seasons, and are these same players, or others, worth drafting in upcoming 2017 yearly league (redraft) fantasy football drafts?

Bounce-Back Studs?

Rob Gronkowski (NE/TE)

For more on this one, be sure to read this write-up dedicated solely to this topic… but, know this. I love Rob Gronkowski entering 2017, even in dynasty. Why? He is only 27, turning 28, and he has a low ADP near 2.10-2.12 in dynasty and 3.01 or later in redraft. Given he has top 10 overall value, he is as underrated as stud-type players can get. The injury risk is making him a steal in all formats! Read more here!

DeAndre Hopkins (HOU/WR)

The guy has top 2-5 fantasy WR upside. Yes, his QB situation is cloudy, but so was Calvin Johnson’s for many years in Detroit. Elite players can produce in cloudy-like passing offenses, and I have a huge amount of confidence in DeAndre Hopkins returning to top 2-5 fantasy WR numbers in 2017 and beyond! He struggled last year, no question. It’s not him, though. The only risk is that he doesn’t get the football, but that risk is now built into his current value! He is an amazing buy-low for anyone considering him a middle second-round talent.

Amari Cooper (QAK/WR)

Everything said above about DeAndre Hopkins can be said here for Amari Cooper. Hopkins and Cooper could both be top 2-5 fantasy WRs of the future and now — I’m buying low in all leagues on both these guys. He can be your top overall player on a dynasty team, yet he can be acquired right now via trade as a third-round talent. That’s how you build a dynasty!

Todd Gurley (STL/RB)

There is risk here, no question, but at 2.05-2.09 value in most all formats, it’s time to bite and buy-low. His upside is just gigantic, and I mean top 5 overall-like gigantic. The risk is he gets abused and has no room to run once again in 2017, something we saw in frustrating fashion in 2016. The risk has nothing to do with his talent. The risk is now built into his value. Buy!

Martavis Bryant (PIT/WR)

Talk about high-risk/high-reward. This kid might end up on the 2017 Bold Predictions soon… if he can stay on the field, you might see top 20 overall value for much of the 2017 fantasy football season. You may also see him play two games and get suspended for the rest of his life. This is not a selection you take at the value I’m hoping for, you grab him as late as possible, and current 2017 fantasy football ADP data shows him near the 7.01 range, which will likely climb into the high 6th-round soon.

Allen Robinson/Blake Bortles (JAC/WR/QB)

Allen Robinson showed that he can be a high-end WR1 back in 2015, and only the struggles of Blake Bortles held him back in 2016. I think both will have bounce-back 2017 fantasy football seasons and both are amazing buy-low players in all formats right now. Robinson has near 4.01 value, and Bortles has a no-risk (whatsoever) ADP at Round 12/13. Own both of these guys at this value.. it will, I believe, be a fun combo to own in 2017, and the cost is cheap!

Adrian Peterson (FA/WR)

Where he lands determines everything, including his redraft ADP, which will be relatively in line (higher or lower) by August drafts. But, dynasty leaguers can act now and buy-low. Don’t buy unless it’s low, though. I have people taking my “go get AP” talk as if I’m suggesting his rebound in 2017 is a lock. It is not. And, his landing spot determines SO much! Still, if he can be had for a late 2nd or 3rd-round rookie picks, give the rusher a shot. I think if in the right spot, AP can still crank out top 10RB numbers per start.

Alshon Jeffery (PHI/WR)

A top 10WR if healthy. No question. Staying healthy is the question. The risk is worth it at 4.01, which is his current ADP.

Andrew Luck (IND/QB)

With 4th- to 5th-round ADP value, there is no risk and top 1-5QB upside in 2017.

Jarvis Landry (MIA/WR)

His 5.05 to 5.11 ADP (redraft) makes him a great buy-low/draft-low. In dynasty, try to trade for him near this same value. He has top 10WR upside in fantasy, and I believe he will eventually get to that level.


  1. Avatar Hawk12 on April 7, 2017 at 5:37 pm

    Great list, and solid reasoning behind all of them.

    • Smitty Smitty on April 7, 2017 at 5:51 pm

      Thanks, pal! Any additions you’d like to add?

  2. Avatar Sean Reiss on April 8, 2017 at 9:27 am

    How about Keenan Allen? No where to go but up, if he can stay healthy!

    • Smitty Smitty on April 9, 2017 at 9:35 pm

      @sean reiss – Yes, he has decent upside but still needs to be a 3rd-drafted player, which in some ways makes me still a touch worried. That’s a pretty big gun to get wrong, and he has kinda failed three straight years coming off his promising rookie season 4 years ago. Good bounce back candidate, sure, no question, but his ADP/value isn’t making him a great draft/trade for candidate, though, but that does not mean that those holding him won’t be happy!

  3. Avatar Sean Connors on April 9, 2017 at 11:01 am

    Can you see value in round two with brink in large leagues or to much risk

    • Smitty Smitty on April 9, 2017 at 9:00 pm

      @sean connors… can you restate the question, I’m not sure what you mean? Thanks, pal!

      • Avatar Sean Connors on April 11, 2017 at 1:12 pm

        Your in a large league 16 or more teams is there value in a round two gronk pick.
        Isn’t it very risky?

        • Smitty Smitty on April 13, 2017 at 1:47 am

          It can be in such a large league, sure, as you miss out on RBs. However, if you land Gronk and land your sleepers, like a Freeman (the year he was a FA in fantasy in 2015), or last year Spencer Ware (a deep sleeper recommend by the Bold Predictions), then you clean up. IF you land those types.

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