2017 Team by Team Fantasy Football Analysis

smitty fantasy football advice

Ok, folks, it’s time to dig deep into the fantasy football depth charts and breakdown every single team and every single relevant fantasy football player. Below is a Team by Team 2017 Fantasy Football Analysis/Breakdown. This is both a depth chart and a player by player breakdown.

2017 Team by Team Fantasy Football Breakdown

Updated: 8/20/2017


BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Buffalo Bills

Updated: 8/15/17

Quarterbacks
QB1: Tyrod Taylor – He has top 10 upside at times, so he could be a solid backup if on the field; however, he is the kind of player that may or may not be the starter at Week 16’s end.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 12, Floor Value Positionally: 33
QB2: Nathan Peterman – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 32, Floor Value Positionally: 33
Running Backs
RB1: LeSean McCoy – While healthy, McCoy clearly has top 5RB appeal. That said, he will be 29 before the 2017 season begins, and given he has played 8 NFL seasons, it’s not crazy to think he could completely fall off the face of the earth, fantasy wise, at any moment during the season (even if he starts the season off strong). I recommend selling high in all formats, but only sell-high. Package deals are sometimes the only way to get rid of a player like McCoy, who has top 5RB appeal, but is on the fence age-wise. Example: McCoy/future first-round pick in exchange for one stud, or maybe try buying low on an Amari Cooper, Todd Gurley, or DeAndre Hopkins, using just McCoy and maybe a second-round pick? Or add in a Tyreek Hill-type to get of Cooper through Hopkins above? That’s how you dump a McCoy-like player on the high, in bigger deal that makes someone capable of once again paying something closer to a solid asking price.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-7, Floor Value Positionally: 20

RB2: Jonathan Williams – He is a handcuff for certain, but his upside is tough to predict at this point. I think all McCoy owners have to have Williams handcuffed, though. It’s a must. It makes it easier to trade McCoy later on, too, keep this in mind and think ahead if you do take the risk owning McCoy… It’s a safe way to protect your McCoy investment, especially if you cannot sell him on the high later, even as a pair; at least you’d maybe have the future still in Williams.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 20, Floor Value Positionally: 33

Wide Receivers
WR1: Jordan Matthews – It’s tough to say if the move to BUF will help him, but his stock was nearing it’s lowest before the trade, so you have to think this can only be a good thing for his value right now. The rookie Zay Jones could have a better year, it’s tough to say. Avoid Matthews unless he is a steal in drafts.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15-25, Floor Value Positionally: 40-60

WR2: Zay Jones – He has nice upside, maybe eventually WR2-type upside. But, in redraft, it’s tough to count on him.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 96

WR3: Andre Holmes – I have always liked Holmes. Consider him a WR5-6 in fantasy with upside for more should he see more targets.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 96

WR4: Corey Brown – The guy is still young, as he is only 25, so who knows what he will turn into. He isn’t a player I’d worry about unless he was shoved into a bigger role — For now, that is.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 96

Tight Ends
TE1: Charles Clay – He is 28, so given his injury history, it’s tough to count on Clay for a 16-game season. When on the field, he does have top 12TE appeal, but overall, he is a TE2 in fantasy.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10, Floor Value Positionally: 33

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Miami Dolphins

Updated: 8/25/17

Quarterbacks
QB1: Jay Cutler – This is a great spot for Culter, and he will move the chains. Dislike his INTs or attitude all you want, he is aggressive and he will open up that offense. He may not be a fantasy starter, but he makes Jay Ajayi owners sleep better, as he should have more room to run and face less brutal 8-man fronts. I like both Landry and Parker more with Cutler under center.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 16, Floor Value Positionally: 33

QB2: Matt Moore – While he will likely never be a fantasy starter week in and week out, it’s possible that he is better for Jarvis Landry and that Miami offense. Time will tell.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 22, Floor Value Positionally: 33

Running Backs
RB1: Jay Ajayi – (Updated: 8/15/17) Jay Cutler is awesome news for Ajayi, as stated above under Cutler.
(8/1/17) Jay Ajayi is a machine. He has some injury concerns, and there are even concerns about usage, as the Dolphins have clearly been underutilizing players for a handful of straight years (Lamar Miller, Jarvis Landry, etc.); that said, if healthy and on the field, and the team is expected to pass to him even more this year, you might just see top 5RB numbers out of Ajayi in 2017. You don’t rush for 200+ yards on three separate occasions during the same year and not have insane talent… he is a talent. He could be the next elite rusher for years to come, and I mean of the top 2-5 variety. The thing is, though, he is probably the one single runner that ranks both in the top 5RBs on some rankings, and outside of the top 15RBs on others. He will likely either boom or bust, which is why his ADP and support is all over the map… there might not be a fantasy fan club much in between. There sits the risk. However, with an ADP around 11-17 overall (in all formats), there is probably more upside than risk, making him a fine second-drafted player in all 2017 drafts (if you should be so lucky and he fall into the later half of that 11-17 ADP range). I love Ajayi, proven by the fact that he was on the Bold Predictions Board heading into last year, a prediction that we clearly landed… Well, he’s back on the Top 10 Bold Predictions again this year, because his ADP isn’t near what I’m predicting out of him this year, which is top 5RB numbers on the year… It would be hard for you to find a single site or fantasy writer out there that talked him up more than we/I did heading into last year. The risk is real, keep that in mind, but the upside is even more feasible — if the ADP/trade value is in the right spot for you, and 11-17 overall is still in the ‘right’ range, I say believe! Just be sure to use ADPs to your advantage, as the later you grab him, the more upside (less risk) he becomes.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 2-5, Floor Value Positionally: 20

RB2: Kenyan Drake/Damien Williams – Both of these guys will compete to back-up Jay Ajayi… whomever backs him up this year is only a handcuff in the deepest of leagues.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 32, Floor Value Positionally: 33

Wide Receivers
WR1: Jarvis Landry – (Updated: 8/15/17) Jay Cutler is awesome news for Ajayi, as stated above under Cutler.
(8/1/17) This kid has top 10 WR upside, no question. His situation is the only reason he isn’t already a top 10WR in everyone’s eyes. Many may think I’m crazy by saying this, but he and Odell Beckham are both elite in many of the same ways. The crazy part is, minus the TDs, he is proving it… with lines like 111/1,159/4TDs and 94/1,136/4TDs in back-to-back years, he is only missing the TDs! Landry just needs end zone targets, something receivers can get in bad situations… it happens all the time… so his questionable passing attack in Miami doesn’t rule him out of being elite for both the now and the future. Certainly don’t draft him as a top 10WR, as you don’t have to, but he is the kind of player you can have at your low-end WR2 spot and maybe get those elite WR1 numbers that are hopefully hiding and waiting to emerge. He’s a great buy-low in existing leagues!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 7-10, Floor Value Positionally: 20

WR2: Kenny Stills – He has fantasy bench upside in most fantasy football leagues.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 26, Floor Value Positionally: 66

WR3: DeVante Parker – (Updated: 8/15/17) Jay Cutler is awesome news for Ajayi, as stated above under Cutler.
(8/1/17) His 56/744/4TD season last year is kinda promising, and despite not being as good as many expected through his young career, fantasy-wise, keep in mind that he is just now entering his third NFL season, the year many WRs breakout. For now, though, he remains a bench WR in fantasy, but surely draftable in larger leagues, and surely capable if ever given WR1-like targets.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 26, Floor Value Positionally: 66

WR4: Leonte Carroo – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 50, Floor Value Positionally: 66

Tight Ends
TE1: Julius Thomas – In 2016, he dropped just 30/281/4TDs, but he was hurt for much of the year. The truth is, though, he has never played more than 14 games in his six seasons in the pros, and over his last four years, his played games are as follows: 14, 13, 12 and 9, and in that order. If he stays healthy, he should be a top 5-7TE in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-8, Floor Value Positionally: 15
TE2: Anthony Fasano – Not fantasy relevant, but he can block, which is good for Jay Ajayi, so it’s good that he has a role due to Dion Sims leaving.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 40

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

New England Patriots

Quarterbacks

QB1: Tom Brady – It’s hard to believe that Brady has played 17 NFL seasons. The year 2000 was his first season as a pro, but he really turned things on in 2007, when he tossed 50TD passes and threw for 4,806 yards. He may or may not ever reach that 50TD total again, it’s an almost impossible number to reach for any passer, but I think we are about to see that kind of season out of Brady and the Patriots here in 2017. They have added Brandin Cooks to the arsenal, and Rob Gronkowski is back (with a contract re-structured so that it pays him almost double, from 5 million to 10 million, if he is on the field 90% of the team’s snaps)… Add in newly-acquired Mike Gillislee, who is a hidden gem top 10RB all on his own, then toss in super bowl heroes James White and Julian Edelman, you have endless weapons sitting there ready to be spread all around the field in 2017 (Note: Chris Hogan and Malcolm Mitchell can barely even be used and amazing bench players waiting should injury strike any of the names mentioned)… this coming season feels like the 2007 season in the making, the one described above, where Brady threw for 50TDs and Randy Moss had 23TDs and 1,493 yards. Big stats will be spread around more this year, though, versus that season, as there are just so many weapons at play, but I am predicting right now that in hindsight for most that ignore the signs, Tom Brady is going to look like the 1.01 in fantasy football. What do I mean. I’m basically suggesting that by midseason, whomever owns Tom Brady wouldn’t trade him for anyone else in fantasy, thus suggesting he will, in hindsight, have 1.01 value… and keep that value all year. At times, it’s going to feel like he is just rotating options, as defenses helplessly get walked all over. My prediction is 45-50TD passes for Brady this year, with easily over 4,300 yards. Use ADPs to your advantage when trading/drafting Tom Brady, I cannot stress that enough (as his ADP is often in the 4-6 round range); however, know that you can win a league if all goes well and he stays healthy in 2017. I am scooping up Brady a handful of picks ahead of his ADP in almost every startup draft/mock I’m in. And, in existing dynasty leagues, he is the best buy-low in fantasy. Even if he had just 2 years left and was for sure to retire after exactly two more played seasons, he is worth, in the end, way, way more than anything close to his ADP. In dynasty, I have him near #2 for passers, just behind Aaron Rodgers. Crazy? Maybe, but if I get 2-3 years of monster numbers, I build for the now/2-3 years down the road vs. just 4-5 years down the road (and never really ever winning the league championship). Want more insane predicting for Tom Brady, Mike Gillislee and Rob Gronkowski? Well, all three are inside our Top 10 Bold Predictions for 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 1, Floor Value Positionally: 4-5

QB2: Jimmy Garoppolo – Make no mistake about it, Garoppolo would do very well fantasy-wise if starting for NE. But, he won’t be near as good as Brady. When playing full games, Jimmy G has cranked out right around what would amount to 4,000 yards and 30-32TDs per season. That’s all based on a small sample size, sure, but that’s about how the guy feels when you look at his stat lines. He is a fine handcuff for anyone that owns Tom Brady this year. That’s usually not a great recipe at the QB position, to handcuff players, but he is a fine backup for Brady owners because 4,000 and 30-32TDs is still awesome, and it’s a secure duo to have rostered. As for his future, he has a solid future, but it’s quite cloudy, as we don’t know what will be going on in New England at the QB position come 2018. I always consider selling players like Jimmy G on the high should his value climb for whatever reason. Don’t sell-low in dynasty, wait for a spike in value, if there ever is one this year, and sell if the price is right, or ride the wave and enjoy the production. My hope, given my Brady predictions this year, is that Jimmy G doesn’t see the field.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 6-10, Floor Value Positionally: 33

Running Backs
RB1: Mike Gillislee – You won’t find many higher on Gillislee last year than I was. I had him on my Top 10 Bold Predictions, which is pretty high in the expectations department when he was a clear backup rusher at the time I talked him up… and he remained a backup all season, minus some small moments, but in those moments, he did show flashes of what I predicted. He never carried the football more than 15 times in 2016, and he only had double-digit carries on four occasions. His 577 yards (5.7 YPC) and 8 rushing TDs was more than solid in his change-of-pace role in Buffalo last year, and his explosiveness is head-scatching in the sense that bigger fantasy circles aren’t calling for this guy’s breakout campaign in NE this year. Is there risk? Sure! I love his talent and skill set, clearly, and they seem to love him in NE; however, there is that chance he doesn’t get the touches we think he will get. That’s fantasy football, and that’s the nature of that NE coaching staff and rushing situation. The great news is that his ADP in redraft and dynasty is near 7.01. That could change, though, let me start there. This is a great spot if his ADP remains there, because you’re talking about potential 10TD upside (look at Gillislee last year with 9 total scores, and then look at Blount’s 18 rushing TDs in this same NE role that Gillislee is supposedly stepping into). At 7.01, you’re looking at players like Delanie Walker, Dalvin Cook, Paul perkins, Emmanual Sanders, Jamison Crowder, Cam Newton and Larry Fitzgerald. While there is nothing wrong with those players, Gillislee is all of the sudden looking way more upside-driven than risk-driven, if you ask me. Invest at anywhere near these player names (especially via trade in existing leageus). Folks, 18TDs! That’s how many Blount had last year… Gillislee had 9 total scores himself as a backup last year… Last year, I had him in my top 10 Bold Predictions, based only on how great he looked on film. To me, I’m seeing writing on the wall… For more on Gillislee, check him out on our Top 10 Bold Predictions for 2017, yep, he is on there!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 6-12, Floor Value Positionally: 33

RB2: James White – James White rushed for 29 yards and two touchdowns and caught 14-of-16 targets for 110 yards and a third touchdown in Super Bowl 51. To say he earned the trust of both Bill Belichick and Tom Brady is an understatement. Mike Gillislee should be locked into the starting role, but in this offense, two rushers can thrive in PPR, and clearly we love Gillislee. Can we love both? You bet! This Patriots offense is crazy-good and White, who pulled in 60 balls for 551 yards and 5TDs last year, is a good bet for 70 balls and 600-700 and 5-7TDs in 2017, and that’s if he kinda stays on par usage-wise. He could see a huge increase in total touches should Gillislee falter, or if coach Bill decides to be coach Bill and do the unthinkable at RB, something he is known for.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 12, Floor Value Positionally: 33

RB3: Dion Lewis – All signs point to a lesser role for Lewis than many Lewis supporters might have been hoping for. With Gillislee looking like the likely starter in 2017, and James White the PPR machine and third-down specialist, Lewis is merely a solid player in waiting, which still warrants monitoring… the situation is that good should he get inserted into a situation that gets him the touches. Rex Burkhead is the next running back on the roster that is looking to find a role this preseason. Like Lewis, Burkhead is worth monitoring.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 24, Floor Value Positionally: 45

Wide Receivers
WR1: Brandin Cooks – It seems you either believe in Cooks in NE this year or you don’t, there isn’t much in between. Some say he moved to the best situation in football, others will argue that he already had Drew Brees throwing him the ball, and now just has more competition for targets. I say the risk sits in the transition, as many receivers struggle changing passing attacks/teams, even if rapport looks good early on. My prediction is this… Cooks is a special athlete. Very special. He has speed that works to his advantage given the league rules, and honestly, NFL rules aside, almost no defensive back can hang with him as he knifes across the field. Think Antonio Brown; Cooks has that kinda elusiveness, without question. He is also the kind of receiver that can have those monster games that many other receivers never see, especially several times in one singal year, like: 6/143/2TDs (OAK) in Week 1, 173/1TD (CAR) in Week 6, and 7/186/2TDs (AZ) in Week 15. Tom Brady, a 40TD-capable passer, and one of the most elusive receivers I’ve seen enter the NFL in over a decade… what is not to love about this situation? A realistic end-of-year stat line for Cooks could easily be something along the lines of: 110 receptions for 1,400 yards and 12-15TDs. I know that sounds too good to be true, but I ask you to watch this video and imagine Cooks knifing through passing lanes awaiting passes from the best passer of all time, who is still currently in his prime.

Ceiling Value Positionally: 3-10, Floor Value Positionally: 15

WR0: Julian EdelmanOut for the season.
While he’s no spring chicken at 31, Julian Edelman still has at least one strong year left. Strong to me, for Edelman, will be somewhere between last year and the year before, as he had more TDs in 2015 than he did in 2016, and the opposite in terms of receptions and yards. So, mixing his 2015 line of 61/692/7TDs and his 2016 line of 98/1106/3TDs, I think 2017 should/could look something like 75-80 receptions for 900-1,000 yards and 6TDs. I think the TDs could even get in the 5-7 range before his yards would return to the 1,100 area, as the “too many mouths to feed” concern would likely impact a guy like Edelman way before it affected either Gronk or Cooks.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 12-15, Floor Value Positionally: 34

WR2: Chris Hogan – (Update: 8/30/17) With the injury to Julian Edelman, Chris Hogan could step up big-time. He may have a shocking fantasy line come year’s end. Something like 1000 yards and 7TDs wouldn’t be shocking.
(8/1/17) It is not hard to envision a 35-40 reception season for 500-600 yards and 2-4TDs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

WR3: Malcolm Mitchell – There is a lot of upside here talent-wise, but there are more mouths to feed this year in NE than last year. If the opportunity presents itself, like via injury, he will do well. He won’t start off with a lot of work to kickoff the season, though.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Tight Ends
TE1: Rob Gronkowski – In an attempt to NOT beat a dead horse entirely, read my Bold Predictions on both Brady and Gronk and you will know how much I love both, especially drafted together, heading into 2017. In a nutshell, I envision a career-like season out of Gronk, the kind where he drops something insane like 15TDs, or boatloads above 1,000 yards receiving (with double-digit scores)… What about Gronk staying on the field? Well, this year Gronk reconstructed his contract so it’s incentive-laden. To the max! Gronk’s salary essentially doubles from $5.25 million to $10.75 million if the tight end plays 90 percent of the Patriots snaps. Gronk will be working extra hard during the off-season, to be healthy and ready to endure a 16-game season, and he will surely fight through minor stuff in order to stay on the field. This, mixed with the fact that the guy is only 28 years old, he has 2-3 elite years left. He is one of the best buy-lows in dynasty. Buy!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0
TE2: Dwayne Allen – The guy has never been consistent, nor can he stay on the field. He has only scored big TD numbers once (8), yet he had only 29 receptions for 395 yards that year. And, his biggest yardage/reception totals took place during his rookie year, when he dropped 45/521. My guess is this… while on the field getting starter touches, Tom Brady makes him play awesome football. However, with Gronk set to get TONS more money if he plays 90% of the team’s plays, only injury will open up a huge role for Allen this year. Injury is possible for Gronk, but I think Allen is only starter-worthy in the largest of leagues. For now. He’s a solid handcuff for Gronk owners, though.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

New York Jets

Quarterbacks

QB1: Josh McCown – Josh McCown is by far the best passer on this team, but unfortunately for him, he has the worst assortment of weapons in the NFL, minus rookie rusher Elijah McGuire, who is nowhere near the line-up yet. So, don’t count on McCown in fantasy on any level, even if he could stay healthy, which he won’t.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 60

QB2: Bryce Petty/Christian Hackenberg – I imagine one of these two will get in the line-up at some point due to injury, but neither has fantasy appeal, especially given the lack of weapons at the receiving position. This offense is awful.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 35, Floor Value Positionally: 66

Running Backs
RB1: Matt Forte – I imagine both Matt Forte and Pilal Powell will share the starting touches early on in 2017. I like rookie Elijah McGuire a lot, though, which you can read about below. I think by mid-season, at least, the stage will be set for the rookie to shine.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

RB2: Bilal Powell – Always good in short bursts, Powell is turning 29 in October… the Jets’ future is either in rookie RB Elijah McGuire, or a runner not yet on the roster. As you can see below, I think McGuire could be the real deal.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 20, Floor Value Positionally: 60

RB3: Elijah McGuire – There is a hidden opportunity here for rookie Elijah McGuire, he just has to step up when it’s time to shine. The kid is an amazing receiver, and that UL Lafayette offense constantly leaned on the rusher, as the coaching staff lined McGuire up all over the field on a very regular basis. His versatility is impressive, and his size is solid at 214, 5-10. His resume is long and consistent: 1264/14TDs with 45/468/2TDs in 2014, he had 1047/13TDs with 34/304/3TDs in 2015 and 1127/7TDs with 29/238/2TDs in 2016… Those are impressive numbers for three seasons, and he played four college years. I almost wish he didn’t, but he still has fresh legs; he soon turns 24. When I watch him run, I see some LaDainian Tomlinson in his game, and he is so versatile, I’m real excited for him to get a chance to shine. Buy-low, though, folks, as there is risk given his team is awful and he isn’t yet starting… Draft him high in rookie-only drafts, though, don’t concern yourself with rookie-only ADP data… my advice in rookie-only drafts is always to draft the guys you want once you get out of round one — don’t stick solely to ADP data in the rookie-only drafts, get who you want and don’t have regrets over silly value systems that can’t really be used with rookies… he’s a guy I’d snag near 2.01 and let the haters hate. Watch the guy run, don’t take just my word for it:

Ceiling Value Positionally: 12, Floor Value Positionally: 40

Wide Receivers
WR1: Quincy Enunwa – ***Update*** out for the year.
OldHe isn’t an ideal WR1 for an NFL team, but the spotlight will surely have him produce numbers better than last year’s 58 receptions for 857 yards and 4TDs. How much better, though? That’s tough to say, but I’d say count on 800 or so receiving, 5-6TDs, with 60-70 receptions? He has upside for more, sure, I just wouldn’t count on it by any means.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 30, Floor Value Positionally: 96

WR2: Robby Anderson – Last year the guy had a decent 42/587/2TDs. He could become fantasy relevant, but it’s a stretch at this point given the QB situation in New York.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 50, Floor Value Positionally: 96

WR3: ArDarius Stewart – Not fantasy relevant, at least for now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 55, Floor Value Positionally: 96

WR4: Jalin Marshall – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 60, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: Austin Seferian-Jenkins – He’s very talented, but can he put it all together and stay healthy? He is only 24, and despite never having a season with more than 4TDs or more than 338 yards, he has 700/7TD appeal if healthy. He is the team’s best TD option, too.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 40
TE2: Jordan Leggett – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 33, Floor Value Positionally: 60

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Baltimore Ravens

Quarterbacks

QB1: Joe Flacco – The passer was recovering from knee surgery around this time last year, so he is expected to enter 2017 a lot more prepared. Flacco is essentially a 3,700-3,900 passer, and 18-25TDs is about what you can expect from him in the TD department. The Ravens added Jeremy Maclin to the receiving crew this off-season, so 3,700-3,800 and 20-23TDs sounds about right to me, which puts him in back-up fantasy QB territory.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 38

QB2: Ryan Mallett/Dustin Vaughan – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 70

Running Backs
RB1: Terrance West – While still young (26), it’s hard to count on West after never having more than 774 rushing yards in a single season. That season came last year, and he also pulled in 34 balls for 236 yards and 1TD. It was a good year, and the coaching staff is currently behind him as the team’s starter. Still, risk or upside, it all boils down to ADP and trade value… I think if you can get West near flex-like value, you’re not taking a big risk and the upside is there for low-end RB2 numbers. Just handcuff him to Kenneth Dixon, the runner that I see as the most talented in that BAL group. Dixon serves a four-game suspension to kickoff the year, but he is a threat once back on the field. Also, Danny Woodhead is on the roster, which doesn’t impact the BAL rushing yards much, but he will dig into all the running back targets in the receiving game… and that makes none of these three BAL rushers RB2-capable — at least for the moment. Whomever is getting most of the touches will flirt with flex-like numbers. If one gets hurt, then I could see some low-end RB2-type appeal.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 14, Floor Value Positionally: 35

RB2: Danny Woodhead – As said above, the presence of Terrance West (currently the starter) and Kenneth Dixon (suspended for four games) limit the value of Woodhead, just as Woodhead limits the value of both runners. An injury could shake things up, though. For now, though, West will start the season off with flex-like appeal, and Dixon will have the best chance of carving out a late-season role.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 70

RB3: Kenneth Dixon – As said above, Kenneth Dixon kicks off the 2017 season on a four-game suspension. Talent-wise, I see Dixon as the leader, but West clearly has the keys to the line-up until Dixon returns from injury. This will most likely go one of two ways… West won’t impress enough through four games, and Dixon will come in after his four-game suspension and get a welcomed shot at the job… or, West does well enough in Weeks 1-4, then Dixon is used less than expected. There is a lot of risk here, but Dixon has the best draft/trade value given he is kind of an afterthought for people with that four-game suspension hanging over his head.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 70

Wide Receivers
WR1: Jeremy Maclin – While it’s hard to expect even high-end WR3-type numbers this year, Jeremy Maclin is capable of being one of those WR4-5 types that you hope can play like a WR3/flex. Don’t expect that kind of season out of him, though, changing teams at 29 is no easy task for a receiver.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 33, Floor Value Positionally: 70

WR2: Mike Wallace – The receiver is 30, but coming off a pretty unexpected 1,000-yard season last year. He had just 4TDs, but did have 72 receptions. This was after four-straight disappointing seasons under (well under) 1,000 yards. I’d say he is a WR4/5 in larger leagues, but with upside for more. I’d pay no more than WR4/5-type value, though, as he is an unsure bet.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 70

WR3: Breshad Perriman – He had 33 receptions for 499 yards and 3TDs last year. I’m not sure I can say I expect more or less out of the guy in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 50, Floor Value Positionally: 90

WR4: Michael Campanaro – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 90, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: Ben Watson – At 36, I’d only recommend running Ben Watson out as your back-up fantasy TE in 2017. He had a great year last year with 74/825/6TDs, but he had 136 yards the year prior, 226 the year before that, and nothing over 501 yards the two seasons before that. He is far from trustworthy heading into 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 70
TE2: Crocket Gillmore/Max Williams – I think that Crockett Gillmore has the most upside talent-wise on this BAL roster, but a back issue hurt him all last year. He showed great upside in 2015, so I think the talent is there, but as a back-up in fantasy (with upside for more). Max Williams is still recovering from a knee injury.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 18, Floor Value Positionally: 100

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Cincinnati Bengals

Quarterbacks

QB1: Andy Dalton – If you look at Dalton’s yardage totals over the last six seasons, they are all over the map. He goes from 3,600 passing yards to 4,200, then to 3,300 and 3,200, and then he drops 4,206 yards in 2016. I think it would be safe to expect yardage totals more along the 3,600-yard range in 2017, and while he has tossed for 27 and 33TDs in years past, his last three seasons in terms of TDs was 19, 25 and 18, so I think it’s safer to expect 22-26 vs something higher, and that makes him a QB2 in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 13, Floor Value Positionally: 20

QB2: AJ McCarron – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 65

Running Backs
RB1: Joe Mixon – I love this kid’s talent, and at 20 years old, he could be a dynasty gem. That said, his questionable off-the-field issues had most every NFL team totally pass on the idea of drafting him during the 2017 NFL Draft. That’s a strong statement. So, while I will admit I’m ready to gamble on him, at the right price, heading into 2017, you have to account for a bit of risk/disappointment. He could be that next Josh Gordon, the kind of player that could let you down several times. Now, his head seems to be on straight now, and the Bengals are looking very likely to toss him immediately out onto the field with a starter’s workload. And, given that Cincy is top 10 in the NFL in both rushing attempts and red-zone carries, the stage is set for the rookie. Could Cincy play all three of their backs? Sure, but my guess is Mixon gets a real shot this year, and likely sooner vs. later. If healthy, and on the field, 1,100 yards and 6-8TDs wouldn’t be crazy for the ultra-talented Mixon. Keep in mind that the Cincy RB crew seems crowded, but Gio Bernard is recovering from ACL surgery, and he could miss a couple games in the early part of the regular season.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 8, Floor Value Positionally: 25

RB2: Jeremy Hill – With Gio Bernard likely to miss a couple regular-season games, at least that’s what the early word suggests here in June, it’s time to consider Jeremy Hill the for sure RB2 in Cincy for the time being.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 22, Floor Value Positionally: 60

RB3: Giovani Bernard – He’s recovering from ACL surgery, and there is talk he could miss a couple of regular-season games. Gio should be considered the RB3 in Cincy for the time being.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 23, Floor Value Positionally: 60

Wide Receivers
WR1: AJ Green – The guy is 28 and so many dynasty owners are starting to wonder if AJ Green is still in the top 5WR conversation. I say yes. Receivers usually play elite up to 31, sometimes into that 31-32 season, and Green has incredible size and special leaping ability, ability that could carry him even when he shows slight signs of slowing… So, 3-4 years of elite football… that’s a ton of time in my book. Injury is a concern, not so much for shortening his overall career, but just in terms of consistency. A receiver can be top 5 season after season, but if he fails to play in the fantasy playoffs every other year, or if he misses 3-4 games each season, that has to be a concern. Green has missed nine games over the past three seasons, six of which were last year. I think there is reason to be cautious if you have a chance to draft a wide receiver that is a bit safer injury-wise, and same goes for trade… however, past that precautionary measure, I still consider Green a top 12 overall fantasy player in all formats. I think 90-95 receptions for 1,200 yards and 8-10TDs is about right for Green in 2017, especially if Mixon and that Cincy rushing attack keeps defenses honest.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 2-5, Floor Value Positionally: 12

WR2: Brandon LaFell – It’s hard to believe the guy will turn 31 in November. He has little dynasty value. In redraft, he has, maybe, WR5/6 value. Maybe.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR3: Tyler Boyd – After a solid 54/603/1TD rookie season in 2016, it’s safe to count on maybe 60-65/700+ and 3-4TDs in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR4: John Ross – His shoulder might not have him ready for camp. He is a solid dynasty gem, but he hast near zero redraft appeal (for now).
Ceiling Value Positionally: 60, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: Tyler Eifert – Missed games are the concern here, talent is not a concern. If healthy, and that is again a concern entering 2017 (with the back surgery), I think 60/700 and 6-8TDs is possible. The problem is, I think he misses time this year, but he could play at that level pace-wise… when healthy.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 4-6, Floor Value Positionally: 25
TE2: CJ Uzomah – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE | PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Cleveland Browns

Quarterbacks

QB1: Cody Kessler – He may lose his job before Week 1, as rookie DeShon Kizer is likely the future in CLE.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 13, Floor Value Positionally: 20

QB2: DeShon Kizer/Brock Osweiler – Both have near as much upside as Cody Kessler, but all three are far from a solid backup in fantasy. For now. Kizer , 6-4/233, is the one QB on this roster that has some potential hidden upside for the future.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 28, Floor Value Positionally: 65

Running Backs
RB1: Isaiah Crowell – The Browns coaching staff, specifically the RB coach, seems to believe in Crowell in 2017. He’s only 24, and he has show flashes of power, quickness and versatility. However, he is far from proven, from consistency to staying healthy… Treat him as a flex-like option heading into 2017 and then just hope for more. If healthy and getting the touches, he could rush for 1,000+ yards and 6-8 scores, while pulling in 40+ passes for 350/1-2TDs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-12, Floor Value Positionally: 33

RB2: Duke Johnson – Believe it or not, the guy has had back-to-back 500+ yard receiving seasons. He enters his third year with lots of hidden upside, as he has RB2-type talent/skill… he will start the year as the backup rusher in CLE, that is his downside. However, in PPR formats, he could still flirt with RB3/4 value at his usual 50-60 receptions for 500+ yards. Imagine if he got the touches! Sleeper alert.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 18, Floor Value Positionally: 50

Wide Receivers
WR1: Corey Coleman – I love his skill/talent, but he has to stay healthy and on the field. I think he could easily double his rookie numbers this upcoming season, which would put him at 66 receptions for a near 900 yards and 6TDs. If healthy, that’s conservative. I think Coleman has the ability to become a high-end fantasy WR2, he is that good. He has the talent to become even better than that, but first, a lot of things need to happen, including some QB development in CLE (Kizer?).
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-15, Floor Value Positionally: 30

WR2: Kenny Britt – He has some WR3 appeal in fantasy, with upside for more, he is just too inconsistent to trust past that, even after his 68/1,002/5TD season last year.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 80

WR3: Ricardo Louis – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 70, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR4: Rashard Higgins – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 90, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: David Njoku – At 6-4/246, there is a lot to like about this kid’s future. He is a dynasty play for now, with some redraft appeal, but it wouldn’t be shocking to see him firing on all cylinders by midseason.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-15, Floor Value Positionally: 50
TE2: Seth DeValve – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 65, Floor Value Positionally: 99

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Pittsburgh Steelers

Quarterbacks

QB1: Ben Roethlisberger – Like every season, Roethy is going to be a stud for a string of weeks, mediocre during other weeks, and possibly banged up here and there. He’s a 4,000 and 28ish touchdown passer when healthy and on the field. In fact, I’d venture to say that 30-33TDs is in the cards if Martavis Bryant can stay on the field this year.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 4-6, Floor Value Positionally: 10

QB2: Landry Jones – .
Ceiling Value Positionally: 33, Floor Value Positionally: 64

Running Backs
RB1: LeVeon Bell – I don’t think one can argue that Bell doesn’t command 1.01 consideration in all leagues and formats. He is easily in my top 1-3 overall. Easily. That said, handcuff him to James Conner (read below) to be certain you have yourself a top 10RB per week, as Bell has missed 14 games over the last two seasons. The crazy part is that even on 12 games last year, Bell ran for 1,268 yards, 7TDs, pulled in 75 receptions for 616 yards and 2TDs. That’s a 16-game pace of 1,690 rushing yards, 100 receptions for 821 yards and 12 total TDs. Handcuff the guy in 2017, then expect near 2,000 total yards, 80-95 receptions and easily 10+ total scores from your 16 starts from the duo.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 1-3, Floor Value Positionally: 10

RB2: James Conner – This could be one of the most important not-so-obvious handcuffs in fantasy football in 2017. The kid is bull at 6-1/233, and if Bell went down in 2017, you could be looking at high-end RB2-type numbers per start. Easy. In fact, in leagues where you don’t own Bell, grab Conner anyway, he is a great speculative grab for even redraft drafters.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 33, Floor Value Positionally: 64

Wide Receivers
WR1: Antonio Brown – After four-straight seasons of 100+ receptions, and three-straight seasons of 10+ TDs, there isn’t much of a debate when it comes to ranking the top wide receiver in fantasy football. Sure, an argument can be made for Odell Beckham, but I draft Brown as this year’s top fantasy receiver every single time. His only downside, other than injury, which any player faces, is if Big Ben goes down. When this happens, Brown almost drops a tier in value. Predicting injury is a risky business, so I say ignore that fear… expect 100+ receptions, 1,200+ yards and 10-13TDs out of Brown in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 1-5, Floor Value Positionally: 10

WR2: Martavis Bryant – There is no better upside in the entire NFL when talking about a team’s No. 2 wide receiver… Bryant played just 10 games during his rookie season, and 11 games in his second season. He missed last year, obviously, but he is reinstated and apparently looks fantastic according to Big Ben. Despite only playing 10 and 11 games in each of those firs two years, Bryant pulled in 8TDs and 6TDs in those seasons, and if you pace out his 11-played games back in 2015 (his last season played) and you stretch those numbers out over a 16-game span, Bryant produces this kind of line: 72 receptions, 1,112 receiving yards and 10 total TDs. He is as strong and aggressive as they come, and he has a passer that is equally aggressive in getting him the football. If healthy and on the field (the only risk), I think 75-80 receptions for 1,100+ yards and 10TDs is a conservative projection for Bryant in 2017, and that makes him a high-end fantasy WR2 (or better) heading into 2017. Don’t pay that price tag, though, as you don’t have to. If you pay that price tag, or draft him at that value, you ruin all upside and take on risk.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-12, Floor Value Positionally: 20

WR3: Eli Rogers – He has WR4/5-type value just because this offense is so potent, but an injury ahead of him would need to occur for Rogers to have starting fantasy appeal. For now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 33, Floor Value Positionally: 90

WR4: JuJu Smith-Schuster – Great talent, crowded situation. This is one of those situations where lots of WR injury could open a door for a big role, but that seems to be the only path to tons of targets anytime in the near future.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: Jesse James – He only had 338 yards and 3TDs off 39 receptions last year, but he is the number one TE now with L. Green gone… James could be a red zone threat this year to the degree of 6 or so TDs, maybe more, and I think 500-600 yards with 50+ receptions is possible. He came on strong in the playoffs last year, so don’t let his 39/338/3TDs line in 2016 fool you.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-15, Floor Value Positionally: 33

TE2: Xavier Grimble – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 64

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU | IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Houston Texans

Quarterbacks

QB1: Deshaun Watson – Fact: Rookie Deshaun Watson and named-starter Tom Savage have both thrown for the same number of NFL regular-season touchdown passes: Zero. Savage may enter the preseason as the team’s starter, and he could even start some regular-season games… but in the end, the future is in Watson and I’d even draft the rookie ahead of Savage in redraft, merely because I anticipate him starting sooner vs. later. I’m not saying Watson will be amazing during his rookie season, and I’m not saying he won’t be… I just think he starts more games, by a lot… that makes him more valuable than Savage, that’s all. He has nice future value, though, and I love how this will eventually help DeAndre Hopkins.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 22, Floor Value Positionally: 35

QB2: Tom Savage – He is currently the Houston starter in name, but he has never thrown a regular-season NFL touchdown. That makes him every bit a rookie as Watson in my book.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 65

Running Backs
RB1: Lamar Miller – The runner didn’t have as big a 2016 as many had hoped, and I am in that group of people. I had high hopes for Miller given he was finally in a situation where he could be utilized properly. Don’t get me wrong, he wasn’t awful last season, as he posted 1,073 (4.0) rushing yards, 5 rushing TDs, 31 receptions, 188 receiving yards and 1 receiving TD. Still, I think many of us Miller believers were thinking the guy would total more like 1,500 yards and punch in 7-9 scores (with at least 40-50 receptions). The risk with Miller entering 2017 is that his ADP hasn’t fallen into a range you’d expect after a somewhat disappointing first season in Houston. His current redraft ADP is 25-30, and that’s a tough buy-in value for a guy that might have some carries taken away by rookie D’Onta Foreman. I love Miller and his talent, let me make that crystal clear, but at top 25-30 overall value, I’m not feeling confident about making Miller my 2nd- or third-drafted player in 2017, and currently that’s where you have to invest to land him.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 7-12, Floor Value Positionally: 25

RB2: D’Onta Foreman – The one thing this rookie rusher has to his advantage is size… He’s 6-1, 249 pounds, which means if Lamar Miller struggles early on, that Houston coaching staff will unleash their new toy in many early-down situations. Will he start games in 2017? I’m not predicting a takeover in Houston at the RB position; however, most teams, with a somewhat struggling rushing attack (4.0 yards-per-carry last year) will absolutely turn to to a thunder (Foreman) and lightning (Miller) approach when given such a duo. This doesn’t spell the death of Lamar Miller, it actually could have him making bigger plays with fresher legs. Time will tell, though, but cloudy is still the best way to describe this rushing attack in Houston in 2017. It’s too cloudy for me to invest in given Miller’s top 25-30 overall redraft ADP.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 64

Wide Receivers
WR1: DeAndre Hopkins – There are few buy-low opportunities as awesome as this one, in dynasty I mean. But, even in redraft, the value in drafting Hopkins is amazing given the upside. Both his dynasty and redraft ADP ranges from 18 overall to 25, and the guy still has top 1-6WR dynasty appeal. He has top 5-10WR upside this year. Is there risk? Absolutely, but that risk is baked right into that 18-25 overall value/ADP. Even with some more QB struggles this year, which is the real risk in 2017, Hopkins can still deliver stats that are worthy of being a fantasy owner’s number one overall drafted player (even if low-end round one value). Anytime you can get production like that from your 2nd- or third-drafted player, you’re eliminating risk and you’re holding huge upside. The value is in getting him on the cheap or drafting him late… If anyone questions his ability, he dropped 76/1210/6TDS during his 2nd year in the NFL, and then 111/1521/11TDs during his third season… it was only last year where the stud pulled in a mediocre season (78/954/4TDs)… And, on the topic of QB consistent in HOU, I like rookie QB Deshaun Watson, and I think he starts over 10 games this year. Regardless of QB, though, I see Hopkins dropping at least 90-95 balls for 1,100 yards and 7-10TDs. That’s my conservative expectation… if Watson (or Savage) unexpectedly goes nuts, I think Hopkins will be back in the top 1-5WRs… I think now is the time to buy-low in dynasty, and this is the year to drool over his 18-25 overall ADP in redraft.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 1-6, Floor Value Positionally: 12

WR2: Will Fuller – As a rookie, Fuller posted a respectable 47/635/2TDs. More importantly, he had two monster Week 1 and Week 2 performances, posting 5/107/1TD and 4/104/0TDs. Now, I’m not suggesting two games predicts any kind of future success, especially when he didn’t repeat that kind of production during the next 14 weeks; however, it is safe to say that most rookies are not capable of posting back-to-back 100-yard games during their first two NFL starts. It just shows he has tremendous skill. Curb expectations, though, at least until that passing game can produce enough targets/opportunities for DeAndre Hopkins.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 70

WR3: Braxton Miller – Last year’s line of 15 receptions for 99 yards and 1TD should have you not focusing on this kid just yet.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 66, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR4: Jaelen Strong – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Tight Ends
TE1: C.J. Fiedorowicz – The guy enters his fourth season and had a respectable 54/559/4TDs last season. It’s tough to expect more, but he can be a back-up fantasy tight end for the time being.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 20, Floor Value Positionally: 33

TE2: Ryan Griffin – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Indianapolis Colts

Quarterbacks

QB1: Andrew Luck – He has been all over the map stat-wise over the last five seasons… He had a 4,761/40TD season in 2014, then he dropped a disappointing 4,240/31TD season last year. That’s not a horrible line, but it is not fantastic considering what he is capable of, which is obviously 4,800 and 40. I think this season, though, he gets more on track, or back on track, and I believe 4,400 and 35TDs can be reasonably expected out of Luck in 2017. That puts him into top 3-6 for fantasy QBs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 3-6, Floor Value Positionally: 8

QB2: Scott Tolzien – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Running Backs
RB1: Frank Gore – He should start the year, but at 34, can he stay healthy at a 1,000-yard season pace? I like Marlon Mack in this offense (eventually), as you can see below.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 40

RB2: Marlon Mack/Robert Turbin – The sleeper here is Marlon Mack, and if Frank Gore gets banged up this year, which is not out of the question given he is 34 years old, Mack could do very well in this offense. I like Mack’s game a lot, he can be a Devonta Freeman or Tevin Coleman-type player in the NFL, he just needs a shot.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 34

Wide Receivers
WR1: TY Hilton – The guy threw down shockingly-good numbers last year (91/1448/6TDs)… I say shockingly because many do not realize how well he finished. Need proof? If you own Hilton, you won’t be able to sell-high, meaning he doesn’t get the respect he deserves… After four-straight seasons over 1,000 yards, and with that awesome 1,400+ season last year, it’s time to count on a 90/1,300/6TD line out of him moving forward.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 9, Floor Value Positionally: 20

WR2: Donte Moncrief – While he has never totaled more than 733 yards receiving, he can be a 1,000-yard receiver with 6-7TDs in this offense. He just needs to stay healthy.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 40

WR3: Phillip Dorsett – Last year, he had 33 receptions for 528 yards and 2TDs. He has to fight Kamar Aiken for that third line-up spot, so he is a deep grab in the deepest of leagues, but that’s it… for now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

WR4: Kamar Aiken – If he takes Dorsett’s job, he can have some deep value, but only in deep leagues. For now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Tight Ends
TE1: Jack Doyle – Last year, he dropped 59/584/5TDs, which I think can be improved upon, at least slightly. That doesn’t make him TE1-worthy, but he has appeal in larger leagues.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

TE2: Erik Swoope – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Jacksonville Jaguars

Quarterbacks

QB1: Blake Bortles – The passer had a huge 2015 season (4428/35TDs), but he definitely took a step backwards in 2016 (3905/23TDs). While there is reason to be concerned about his upcoming 2017 run, especially given his career INT totals (17, 18 and 16, in that order), I urge fantasy owners to keep in mind that he threw 35TD passes in 2015. The fantasy upside is there, and a balanced offense, led by rookie rusher Leonard Fournette, could be just the thing to get all three of Blake Bortles, Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns back on track. Now, I will throw this bit of caution out… the Jaguars fully intend on running the ball a ton in 2017, which means Bortles will likely throw for over 100 less passes… that alone could limit his yardage totals to the 3,800-4,000 range. Then again, he could improve his yards-per-attempt… His TD passes may be near the 28-32 range if that entire offense can get firing on all cylinders… The bottom line here is this… Bortles’ ADP in redraft (and dynasty) is in the double-digit range (sometimes 13th-round). This means two things… 1) You don’t have to draft him as your starter this year, so don’t… 2) He has near no risk being your back-up fantasy passer in 2017, as his ADP is so late… The upside is there for low-end QB1 production, so don’t hesitate to draft the guy late as a back-up. And, if in an existing dynasty league where you have a weak starting passer, consider going cheap at QB and investing in a Bortles. I’m not saying it’s a smart/safe play to draft Bortles as a starter going into a fresh draft, but in some leagues, you could lose your starting QB and need to reinvest in the position for cheap, thus Bortles would be a solid choice in such a situation.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 7-10, Floor Value Positionally: 25

QB2: Chad Henne – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 33, Floor Value Positionally: 64

Running Backs
RB1: Leonard Fournette – It seems that you either love Leonard Fournette or you doubt him — I’m not finding much in between. I get the doubt. He is a big guy at 6-0, 228 pounds, and his receiving skills and shotgun experience are limited heading into the pros. Both, mixed with the huge body frame, are considered red flags to some that are scouting the rusher entering his rookie season. Here is what I think, though… While he may only last 4-5 years at the NFL level, at least from an elite perspective, that’s a long time to be a stud. It’s longer than Priest Holmes lasted, and five years (as a stud) is exactly how long Shaun Alexander lasted… So, I say ignore that concern right out of the gate. As for the limited receiving experience, the guy has done a solid job, since January, showcasing his receiving abilities. Just because he wasn’t asked to catch a lot of passes at LSU, that doesn’t necessarily mean that the runner cannot pass-catch. So far, the evidence suggests that he could likely be a 180-300 receiving back as a rookie, and that’s a conservative prediction. He won’t likely ever reach the 60-70 reception totals some elite receiving backs can often get to, but eventually 30-40 receptions isn’t at all out of the question, and that is all it takes to maintain ‘every-down’ running back status. If I had to come up with a projection for Fournette for the upcoming 2017 NFL season, I’d predict this stat line for the runner: 1,250 rushing yards, 7-10TDs, 29 receptions, 180-200 receiving yards and 0 receiving TDs. That’s a very good rookie season, one that will have Fournette setup for first-round value entering his second NFL season.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-10, Floor Value Positionally: 22

RB2: TJ Yeldon – It’s starting to sound like Chris Ivory is making a strong push to back-up Leonard Fournette in 2017. Whomever wins the back-up duties, they will hold ‘handcuff’ value at best — for now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 20, Floor Value Positionally: 64

RB3: Chris Ivory – It’s starting to sound like Chris Ivory is making a strong push to back-up Leonard Fournette in 2017. Whomever wins the back-up duties, they will hold ‘handcuff’ value at best — for now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 20, Floor Value Positionally: 64

Wide Receivers
WR1: Allen Robinson – His 80/1400/14TDs in 2015 was impressive, and so many, including myself, expected near 1,400 yards once again in 2015, even if the TDs dropped to 10 or so. Well, ARob flat-out disappointed in 2016, posting just 73-883-6TDs. Keep in mind that all this boils down to Blake Bortles, proven by Allen Hurns‘ horrible drop-off in 2016. Everyone dropped off in 2016 because Bortles struggled… With the addition of Leonard Fournette, a between-the-tackles workhorse, I think defenses are going to be kept a touch more honest in 2017. I’m going to predict that Allen Robinson pulls in 75-80 receptions for 1,200-1,300 yards and 10TDs in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 6-10, Floor Value Positionally: 18

WR2: Allen Hurns – His 64/1031/10TDs in 2015 was amazing, and while I do not think that he will return to those numbers in 2017, keep in mind that his disappointing 35/477/3TDs in 2016 was due to both injury (5 missed games) and Blake Bortles struggles… with Leonard Fournette now on the roster, I think defenses will be kept a bit more honest, and I can see 60/900-1000 and 6-7TDs in 2017. That makes him a sleeper WR3/4 in 2017, but do not reach for him, his value is in getting him later than fantasy WR3-type value, which is totally possible.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 50

WR3: Marqise Lee – Not fantasy relevant unless injury strikes ahead of him.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 90

WR4: Rashad Greene/Arrelious Benn – Not fantasy relevant unless injury occurs ahead of either player.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 70, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: Marcedes Lewis – Counting on more than 300-400 yards and 2-3TDs would be a mistake. He could play better, but there are risks expecting more.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 22, Floor Value Positionally: 64

TE2: Mychal Rivera – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 99

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Tennessee Titans

Quarterbacks

QB1: Marcus Mariota – The guy is a great red zone passer, and he is only going to get better. He doesn’t throw a ton of INTs, and his passing TDs could reach the 30 mark this year. He may never throw for 4,500 yards, but 3,700 passing yards, 29-30TDs, 350-400 yards and 2-3TDs on the ground feels about right… He actually has very good low-end QB1 upside in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 8-12, Floor Value Positionally: 25

QB2: Matt Cassel – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Running Backs
RB1: DeMarco Murray – After exploding in Dallas in 2014 (1,845 rushing yards, 13TDs, with 57 receptions for 416 yards), many feared that the runner would never be the same heading into Philly in 2015. He did carry the ball 393 times that season before heading to Philly, a total that often ruins a rusher. He did fail in 2015 in Philly, rushing for just 702 yards. However, Murray was reborn in 2016 in Tennessee, where he rushed for 1,287 yards, 9TDs, and had 53 receptions for 377 yards and 3TDs… He had an amazing 2016. Now 29, Murray is in that range of years (usually 29-31) where rushers fall off the map, so it’s extremely understandable to want to avoid Murray in dynasty. In redraft, I think he is a safe RB1 if handcuffed to Derrick Henry, but he has to be handcuffed! The duo is even more critical in dynasty given that Henry could thrive if ever forced to start, something that cannot be said about every back-up rusher in the NFL. So, in dynasty, you better have both or look to trade with the owner of Henry… in redraft, well, you haven’t drafted yet, so just be CERTAIN you draft both if you plan to invest a top 15 pick in Murray (but together they are a top 4-7 fantasy rusher in 2017).
Ceiling Value Positionally: 3-6, Floor Value Positionally: 15

RB2: Derrick Henry – As stated above, if you plan to own DeMarco Murray in 2017, in any format, you have to own both he and Derrick Henry. It’s the only near-sure way to lock down 16 elite RB1 starts. I do not believe that Henry will have a long elite-like career in the NFL… I think at 6-3, 247 pounds, he isn’t built to take the beating that starting running backs takes (week in and week out). That said, for 1-2 years, or half a season let’s say, I think he could absolutely be a 10TD rusher, and 1,200-1,400 total yards is easily in the cards. He is the ideal handcuff and could easily produce RB1-type fantasy numbers anytime he is forced to start in Murray’s place.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10, Floor Value Positionally: 25

Wide Receivers
WR1: Eric Decker – I see him having a 70-75 reception season in 2017, with 900-1,000 yards and 5-6TDs. Corey Davis is the future, but Marcus Mariota will lean on Decker a ton as the rookie matures.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15-25, Floor Value Positionally: 64

WR2: Corey Davis – This is a pretty good long-term situation for the rookie receiver… I think Marcus Mariota will only get better, and he is great in the red zone. I think that this is a great spot for Corey Davis, one that could have him progressing faster than many rookies usually progress at the receiver position.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 24, Floor Value Positionally: 70

WR3: Rishard Matthews – With the Eric Decker and Corey Davis additions this off-season, Rishard Matthews is now the team’s third receiver and potentially the team’s 4th- or even 5th-best receiving option (when you mix in DeMarco Murray and Delanie Walker). I’m not taking away from what Matthews did last year, as he posted 65/945/9TDs in 2016; however, I think it will be a good season for Matthews in 2017 if he gets half of those TDs to go along with 40-50 receptions and 700 yards. I know that’s not very optimistic, but I think there are too many mouths to feed in Tennessee for Matthews to even come close to last year’s totals. Injury could change this, though.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 60, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR4: Tajae Sharpe – A solid talent with no real shot for consistent targets (unless injury occurs).
Ceiling Value Positionally: 80, Floor Value Positionally: 120

Tight Ends
TE1: Delanie Walker – The 6-2/248 pound tight end posted 94 receptions for 1,088 yards and 6TDs two seasons ago. And, despite missing out on some yards last year, Walker had 7TDs in 2016 and still had a respectable 65 receptions for 800 yards. Marcus Mariota is entering his third NFL season, and he could very well toss for 30TDs in 2017. I think if healthy, Walker will be good for 70-80 receptions for 900 or so yards and 6-8TDs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 2-4, Floor Value Positionally: 12

TE2: Phillip Supernaw – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 50, Floor Value Positionally: 100

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Denver Broncos

Quarterbacks

QB1: Trevor Siemian – Despite being the favorite to start in 2017, Trevor Siemian is far from being a passer anyone should count on (outside of being some sort of fantasy backup in the largest of leagues). If playing 16 games, he could produce a line near 3500-3600 yards, 20TDs and 10 INTs, but it’s hard to imagine him playing a full season – for now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 40

QB2: Paxton Lynch – Not fantasy relevant in redraft, but he hast backup fantasy QB potential in larger leagues.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 64

Running Backs
RB1: CJ Anderson – This has to be one of the most messy RB situations in fantasy football right now. I urge fantasy owners to stay clear of this trio of Anderson, Charles and Booker, unless you can grab one of Charles or Booker later (well into double-digit rounds) and avoid the overspending you’d have to do in order to own Anderson.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 14, Floor Value Positionally: 45

RB2: Jamaal Charles – As said above, this Denver RB situation is messy and something I’d avoid, unless Charles can be had at a ridiculous double-digit round price.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 64

RB3: Devontae Booker – If ever starting, sure I like the guy, but his currently lined up to be the team’s third rushing option. He has late, late-round appeal, but I’m talking well into the double-digit round range.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 27, Floor Value Positionally: 70

Wide Receivers
WR1: Demaryius Thomas – Despite turning 30 in December, it’s reasonable to expect 1-2 more semi-elite years out of DT. He may not be a 10TD receiver given his current QB situation, however, 85-90 receptions, 1,000-1,100 yards and 5-6TDs is doable for 1-2 more seasons.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 7-12, Floor Value Positionally: 20

WR2: Emmanuel Sanders – Believe it or not, Demaryius Thomas is 29 and Sanders is 30. That means a decline might come sooner for Sanders. That said, for 2017 at least, I think 70/950-1000/5-6TDs is very doable.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 12-18, Floor Value Positionally: 33

WR3: Bennie Fowler – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR4: Cody Latimer – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 50, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: Virgil Green – With Green, at 28 years old, you aren’t going to see stat lines spike heading into 2017 and beyond. Last year he had 22/237/1TD. He has little value in even large leagues.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 24, Floor Value Positionally: 70

TE2: AJ Derby – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 64, Floor Value Positionally: 100

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Kansas City Chiefs

Quarterbacks

QB1: Alex Smith – He won’t win anyone a fantasy championship, as he is a 15-20TD passer. Expect 3,300-3,500 yards and 15-18TDs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

QB2: Patrick Mahomes – Not fantasy relevant at this time, at least in redraft. I love this kid’s upside and think he could be a steal later on. His hidden value reminds me a lot of the hidden value in Jimmy Garoppolo.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 35, Floor Value Positionally: 65

Running Backs
RB1: Spencer Ware – Many will argue he struggled near the end of last year, or that he proved he couldn’t handle starter touches; however, I don’t understand all the doubt. I will start off by saying I love Kareem Hunt, and together I like the duo a lot, especially given the cost, which is below the cost of a low-end RB2… Despite liking Hunt a ton, I think Ware has low-end RB1 appeal if getting the touches he got last year. Now, that’s the concern, as it sounds like the popular thing to do is doubt Ware, and I’m not so sure the coaching staff in KC won’t follow that trend. I won’t deny that I can see the Chiefs not giving him a fair shot, just like the fantasy media is not giving him a shot. This is where a good fantasy owner can separate his/her own personal evaluation from some likely scenarios that could play out… Meaning a good fantasy owner won’t just assume everyone else sees what they see, and they won’t just draft a player as a high-end RB2 despite all of the red flags (even if those red flags are unfairly placed). Thus, risk needs to be factored into owning/counting on Ware in 2017. There is good and bad news when it comes to his 2017 fantasy football ADP. He is often had at 4.01-4.10, but I’ve seen him go as high as 3.05, but as late as the 5th-round. This means that if you are drafting the runner right, you’re going to run the risk of letting others draft him ahead of you in some situations. You can’t reach for him as your 3rd-drafted player, that has too much risk given the unfair uncertainty surrounding his projected 2017 workload. But, if you wait on the runner, let’s say near 45 overall, well, that’s low-risk territory, especially if you also land Kareem Hunt later on, and a safe place to snag Hunt is that 90-100 overall range (the 90ish end of that being more likely to land him). Ware averaged 4.3 yards-per-carry last season, which is respectable, and he rushed for 921 yards and 3TDs on 14 played games. He also added 33 receptions for 447 yards and 2TDs in that time, putting him at an impressive 1,368 total yards and 5TDs, which if extrapolated over 16 games would be 1,563 rushing yards, 6 total TDs, 38 receptions and 510 receiving yards. While he did slow down during Weeks 12-16, Ware was a huge surprise in 2017 and deserves respect heading into 2017. I love the duo of Ware/Hunt and it’s my favorite RB2 (the duo) in leagues where I am strategically drafting/building cheaply around my RB2 to beef up other lineup spots.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 7-11, Floor Value Positionally: 25

RB2: Kareem Hunt – As I said above, several times, the key to this KC rushing attack in 2017 is owning both Spencer Ware and Kareem Hunt. Ware is still a stud in my eyes, as I mention above (despite all the doubt and hate right now surrounding his slightly slow-like finish to the 2016 fantasy football season)… Still, this doesn’t mean I don’t love Hunt, a runner I see thriving if forced to start games in 2017. I bank on Ware being the guy all year, if healthy, but owning the duo allows one to have a very cheap, but safe, fantasy football RB2 in 2017!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 40

RB3: Charcandrick West – While he is not instantly roster worthy in fantasy football in 2017, he has the upside and skill to be a high-end fantasy RB2 if forced to start games. Keep this in mind if Hunt, or Ware, or both, struggle/get hurt in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 12-20, Floor Value Positionally: 75

Wide Receivers
WR1: Tyreek Hill – The Chiefs’ No. 1 wide receiver pulled in just 593 yards last year, but did so on 61 receptions. The part that makes Hill an attractive fantasy option is that he runs a lot, proven by his 24 attempts for 267 yards and 3TDs. Factoring in both his receiving and rushing stats, it’s easy to envision 1,000 yards total (rushing and receiving) for Hill in 2017. Mix in 60-70 receptions and even similar TD totals of 6-9 total, that’s strong considering his likely draft/trade value.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15, Floor Value Positionally: 60

WR2: Chris Conley – The release of Jeremy Maclin will surely give Chris Conley more action in 2017. How much? That’s tough to say, but he did pull in 44/530/0TDs last year, so something like 50-55/600/2-3TDs is doable. Still, that’s not very fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 64, Floor Value Positionally: 120

WR3: Albert Wilson – He had 31/279/2TDs last year, so it’s tough to expect a ton more, even with Jeremy Maclin no longer in KC.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 70, Floor Value Positionally: 150

WR4: Demarcus Robinson – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Tight Ends
TE1: Travis Kelce – He enters his fourth year and does so after posting an amazing 85/1125/4TDs in 2016. Rob Gronkowski might be the top fantasy TE in all formats, but Kelce is my locked-in second-ranked TE in all formats, and he has the ability to be the top TE during any given season. Stud!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 1-2, Floor Value Positionally: 5

TE2: Demetrius Harris – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 70, Floor Value Positionally: 150

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Los Angeles Chargers

Quarterbacks

QB1: Philip Rivers – It’s pretty safe to expect about 29-33TDs out of Rivers, which is extremely-solid, and his yardage totals should be near the 4,200-4,400 range. He may have 14-18INTs, but still, he has quietly-good QB1 appeal in most all formats – At least for 2017. He is 35 years old, though, so it’s safe to take his value year by year.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 6-12, Floor Value Positionally: 14-18

QB2: Kellen Clemens – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Running Backs
RB1: Melvin Gordon – The guy was on my Bold Predictions in 2015, entering his rookie season. Well, he struggled as a rookie, but we didn’t give up on him, as we once again threw him up on our Bold Predictions list for 2016. He exploded last year for 997 rushing yards, 419 receiving yards (41 receptions) and had 12 total scores, all in just 13 games. I think 1,200 rushing yards, 8-10TDs, 50 receptions for 500 yards and 1-2 more scores, that all sounds about right for the Chargers’ stud rusher in 2017. He is a top 5-capable rusher in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 3-6, Floor Value Positionally: 15

RB2: Branden Oliver – He has some handcuff value in the largest of leagues, but that’s about it.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

RB3: Kenneth Farrow – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Wide Receivers
WR1: Keenan Allen – The 25-year-old receiver can’t stay healthy, as he played 1 game last year, and only 8 games the year prior. Still, he is loaded with fantasy WR1 ability, even if low-end, and his 71/1046/8TD rookie season four seasons ago screams upside. If healthy, I think he is a fantastic WR2; however, I have to be honest in saying that I’m not even 50/50 on expecting near a full season out of the guy – yet.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-18, Floor Value Positionally: 32

WR2: Tyrell Williams – After 69/1059/7TDs in 2016, it’s tough not getting excited about Williams entering 2017. Keenan Allen could take away a bunch of targets, though, so I think expecting the same kind of stat line is safer than expecting him to excel past last year’s numbers.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 64

WR3: Dontrelle Inman – After 58/810/4TDs in 2016, it’s tough not to expect at least that in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 35, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR4: Travis Benjamin – The guy is super underrated talent-wise, but he needs to once again earn targets first, something that could be tough initially in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Tight Ends
TE1: Hunter Henry – He still has to compete with Gates for targets, but it’s pretty clear Henry will be the starter after his awesome rookie season (36/478/8TDs). This is the breakout TE of 2017, folks… 8TDs off 36 receptions? Talk about a red zone target.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 4-10, Floor Value Positionally: 10-18

TE2: Antonio Gates – He will be the backup this year, to a degree, but still could see decent TD looks, as he has pulled in 5 and 7 over the last two seasons. I think 45/500/4-5TDs could be doable in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Oakland Raiders

Quarterbacks

QB1: Derek Carr – He just signed a new deal, which fully guarantees him $40 million, and the guy is going to get better and better each year. He is only 26. He threw for 3937 yards and 28TDs (just 6INTs) last season, and heading into his fourth NFL season, I’m thinking he can toss for 4,200+ and get into that 30-33TD range in 2017. I think those are conservative numbers, too! His future is bright!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-10, Floor Value Positionally: 10-15

QB2: Connor Cook – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Running Backs
RB1: Marshawn Lynch – I love drafting and trading for Marshawn Lynch in dynasty leagues, so you can imagine how much I like scooping him up in redraft leagues. Do I think Lynch has a handful of years remaining? No. He may have just one, but there is still extremely overlooked dynasty value here even if you only get one more elite year out of the guy. So many fantasy owners ignore the ‘now’ piece of their roster in dynasty formats. I love to build for the future, don’t get me wrong, but guys like Jordy Nelson and Marshawn Lynch, players that are top 10 fantasy talents at their position, are way too undervalued merely because they may have just one season left at that elite level. Of course, ADP means everything in these cases, or trade values, but if undervalued like these two, I say take full advantage of this and prepare for what could be top 5-10 positional numbers!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-10, Floor Value Positionally: 11-15

RB2: DeAndre Washington – He has handcuff value if you own Marshawn Lynch.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 34, Floor Value Positionally: 50

RB3: Jalen Richard – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Wide Receivers
WR1: Amari Cooper – I think Coop is one of the very best buy-low players in dynasty leagues right now. He somewhat disappointed fantasy owners in 2016, as many expected top 5WR stats out of the guy. I know I did! Well, he was only entering his second NFL season last year, and sometimes even elite receivers, like Dez Bryant for example, need two full years played before they become the elite versions of themselves. Granted, Coop kinda did breakout as a rookie, in terms of rookie expectations, but I think the best is yet to come… and I think the guy is gonna be amazing for years and years to come, especially after Carr signed his monster extension. How good can Cooper be? Well, last year he had 83/1153/5TDs… I think he pulls in 90-95 receptions, 1,300+ yards and 10 total TDs in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-10, Floor Value Positionally: 15-20

WR2: Michael Crabtree – I like the guy, and he enters his 30-age season coming off a monster 2016 year. Last year, he pulled in 89 receptions for 1003 yards and 8TDs. The 8TDs isn’t too hard to replicate given he had 9TDs the year prior. Since being in Oakland since 2015, he has posted 9 and 8TD seasons, and that’s solid. Do I think he will outscore Cooper moving forward? No. I think Coop is the WR1 in Oakland moving forward, and I think that will be crystal clear. Still, that doesn’t mean Crabs can’t still pull in 70-80 balls for 900 yards and 7-8TDs. This offense needs him and will pass plenty enough for him to reach such totals.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15-20, Floor Value Positionally: 20-45

WR3: Seth Roberts – The guy has never had more than 480 yards and 5TDs in a season, but to be fair, he enters his third year. Still, I think 450-500 yards and 4-5TDs sounds about right.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 70, Floor Value Positionally: 150

WR4: Cordarrelle Patterson – He could cut into Seth Roberts’ time in 2017, but neither Roberts or CP will likely have a big impact in 2017, unless injury strikes Coop or Crabs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 80, Floor Value Positionally: 150

Tight Ends
TE1: Jared Cook – He continues to disappoint year after year, however, he turned down a bigger deal from GB in order to land in this maturing OAK offense. I say for the low-end TE2-type risk, he’s worth a look. I’ve always thought the guy has top 5-10TE talent, he just can’t seem to stay on the field or stay involved.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-12, Floor Value Positionally: 34

TE2: Clive Walford – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Dallas Cowboys

Quarterbacks

QB1: Dak Prescott – The kid was on our Bold Predictions List last year, as we saw something special in him before Tony Romo even got hurt (last preseason). After 3,667/23TDs/4INTs through the air and 282/6TDs on the ground as a rookie, I think it’s safe to expect several more hundred yards passing, 4-5 or so more total touchdowns, and several 100-200 more rushing yards in 2017. That puts him in 5-10 fantasy QB consideration. Many have already put a cap on his ceiling, which is kinda crazy when you consider he was a rookie last year and did all that damage. A rookie! Why can’t he get better and better? We think he could.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-10, Floor Value Positionally: 15

QB2: Kellen Moore – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 36, Floor Value Positionally: 80

Running Backs
RB1: Ezekiel Elliott – The guy had such a monster rookie season last year, I think it’s too much to expect that kind of production in 2017, especially with the threat of a sophomore slump (and with the fear he could get overworked). Last year, the stud rushed for 1,631 yards and 15TDs, and he pulled in 32/363/1TD through the air. From a talent stand point, and pace standpoint, 1,400-1500/10-12TDs rushing and 35/400 yards and 1-2TDs receiving sounds about right for 2017. That’s still awesome, it’s not suggesting a big decline… I just think, if he starts 16 games that is, he will have a slightly lesser season, but still a top 5RB season. However, given all the recent domestic violence allegations, there is a chance Zeke misses 1-3 games this year, and that’s if things don’t get worse with new reports/situations popping up. This fear alone makes Zeke a risky top 1-3 overall pick in redraft, but it doesn’t much change his long-term value, which remains firmly locked into top 1-3 overall value. Consider other options at the 1.03 this year in redraft, like an Antonio Brown… however, don’t worry about his long-term value. He is a top 1-3 overall stud in all dynasty formats.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 3-6, Floor Value Positionally: 8

RB2: Darren McFadden – He won’t see much time unless Elliott suffers injury or falls into a suspension, which could happen. Still, McFadden would only last so long if he was in fact called upon, and I’m thinking 2-3 games.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25-32, Floor Value Positionally: 80

RB3: Alfred Morris – He has handcuff value, but only in larger leagues, as McFadden has more handcuff upside at this point. That could change, though. Monitor this situation/battle in the coming weeks and months.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Wide Receivers
WR1: Dez Bryant – The guy is coming off back-to-back struggling seasons. In 2015, he played just 9 games, and in 2016 he played just 13. He has failed to exceed 800 yards for two years now. He is turning 29 in November, which is cause for some concern given his health risks. I will say this about Dez… He is capable of 10-14TDs during any given season, proof by three-straight seasons with over 12TDs in the three years leading into his two recent disappointing years. He had 12, 13 and 16 touchdowns in 2012, 2013 and 2014. Even last year, on just 13 games, he pulled in 8TDs. He is a TD machine. The question is, can he stay healthy, and can he get over 1,200 or so yards ever again? Time will tell. He is a low-end WR1 with upside for more, but he should not be drafted or valued in the elite WR tier any longer. He can play that well, no question about it, and per start, he should… again, no question about it. However, the value in Dez at this point in his career is investing at that tier just below the big dogs, this way if he returns to high-end WR1 status, you clean up as his owner. If he doesn’t, he still meets expectations.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 7-12, Floor Value Positionally: 12-18

WR2: Terrance Williams – His best year, in 2015, seems like his ceiling output, and those stats were 52/840/3TDS. He had 8TDs back in 2014, but last year he only managed 44/594/4TDs, which is a safe bet for 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 35-40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR3: Cole Beasley – With Dak under center, Beasley saw his receptions jump up from 52 to 75, and his yards from 536 to 833. Despite seeing more action last year under Dak, I think 60-70 receptions for 700-800 yards and 4-5TDs still sounds about right for Beasley in 2017.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 30-50, Floor Value Positionally: 100

WR4: Brice Butler – Not fantasy relevant at this time.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Tight Ends
TE1: Jason Witten – After 14 seasons, it’s time to assume that Witten could drop off the map at any moment, even mid-season, even tomorrow. That said, his 69/673/3TDs stats from last year still feel like low numbers even with cautious expectations. I say, for 2017 alone, 60-65/650/5-7TDs is rather reasonable.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 7-12, Floor Value Positionally: 15-20

TE2: James Hanna – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

New York Giants

Quarterbacks

QB1: Eli Manning – He is 36 and has 13 seasons in the rear view mirror. It’s time to start preparing for a decline, but another big year or two wouldn’t at all be nuts . He has had three-straight seasons with over 4,000 yards passing, and while he dropped from 35TDs in 2015 to only 26 last year, the guy still has two big weapons in Beckham and Marshall. I think 3900-4000 yards, 28-30TDs with 18INTs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

QB2: Josh Johnson/Geno Smith – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 32, Floor Value Positionally: 60

Running Backs
RB1: Paul Perkins – There is a lot of upside here, but his ADP is climbing fast. He doesn’t have a big resume, as last year was his first year in the league, and he only rushed for 456 yards on 112 carries. He also had 0TDs. He did have 15 receptions for 162 yards, though, but keep in mind Shane Vereen is healthy heading into 2017. Can Perkins be the future? Yes. I like his game and his size, 213/5-11… just be sure that you are drafting him outside of the top 60 overall so that he can explode from the draft value. I also like a few names more at that 60 overall range, so just make sure you aren’t passing a safer choice that may have slipped to 60ish… but consider Perkins a strong, strong sleeper candidate in 2017, no doubt!
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-15, Floor Value Positionally: 32-40

RB2: Shane Vereen – He is only 28. He’s not a spring chicken, yet he has the potential of playing 2-3 more years. He did miss 11 games last year, though, but his tricepts appears fully healthy. He is the team’s passing down rusher, so that makes him relevant; however, injury, or failure in regards to Perkins will be the way Vereen gets a big kind of chance.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25-32, Floor Value Positionally: 70

RB3: Wayne Gallman/Orleans Darkwa – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 100

Wide Receivers
WR1: Odell Beckham – What an amazing first three years in the NFL this guy has had. Right out of the gate, Beckham produced 91/1305/12TDs… then he followed that rookie campaign up with 96/1450/13TDs in 2015, and then 101/1367/10TDs in 2016. The guy has never pulled in less than 90 balls, 1300 yards and 10TDs. That’s honestly almost unbelievable when you look at the numbers. This kid is only 24 years old, and talent-wise, he might just get a little better in the next couple of years. I think a safe assumption is 98-105 receptions for 1300-1400 yards and 11-14TDs. He makes a strong case to be the 1.01 in any dynasty league, especially if it’s a PPR format.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 1-5, Floor Value Positionally: 10

WR2: Brandon Marshall – After a big 2015, where Marshall pulled in 109/1502/14TDs, he kinda fell off map in 2016 with his line of 59/788/3TDs. He is 33 years old, which is the year most WRs drop off. So, given he fell a ton last year, at 32, it’s hard imagining him producing anything close to 100/1200-1400/10+TDs this season, especially given he is the No. 2 receiver on the Giants. The Giants do pass way more than the Jets, though, so it wouldn’t be too shocking to see Marshall produce a 70-80/1000/7TD season in New York in 2017. It also wouldn’t shock us if he replicated last year’s numbers, which means it’s all about ADP with this guy in 2017. His ADP is shockingly dancing in the 5.10-6.04 range, which is where you can sometimes find an Andrew Luck or Kelvin Bemjamin. That ADP is way too high for us.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15-18, Floor Value Positionally: 25-40

WR3: Sterling Shepard – With the Giants rumored to be planning to run less three wide receiver sets in 2017, mixed in with the addition of Brandon Marshall, it’s hard to envision Shepard duplicating last year’s line of 65/683/8TDs.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 50, Floor Value Positionally: 120

WR4: Dwayne Harris – Not fantasy relevant unless injury strikes.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 70, Floor Value Positionally: 120

Tight Ends
TE1: Evan Engram – It’s tough envisioning a small year for the rookie, but anything past 35-40 receptions would be a big ask. He could brush up against a grip of end zone targets this year, making him a decent option in redraft and a great prospect in dynasty.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15-20, Floor Value Positionally: 40

TE2: Rhett Ellison – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 60, Floor Value Positionally: 90

BUF | MIA | NE | NYJ | BAL | CIN | CLE| PIT | HOU| IND | JAC | TEN | DEN | KC | LAC | OAK ::: DAL | NYG | PHI | WAS | CHI | DET | GB | MIN | ATL | CAR | NO | TB | AZ | STL | SF | SEA

Philadelphia Eagles

Quarterbacks

QB1: Carson Wentz – After a hot start last year, Wentz took some steps backward… I think 4,000 yards, 20-23TDs and 11-14INTs is about right for Wentz in 2016, mainly because has some good weapons (led by Alshon Jeffery.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 12-15, Floor Value Positionally: 20

QB2: Nick Foles – Not fantasy relevant.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 0, Floor Value Positionally: 0

Running Backs
RB1: LeGarrette Blount – After 1161 and 18TDs last year, with the Patriots, I’m afraid down is the only way to go in terms of expectations. I think Blount owners will be likely to get his usual 700 rushing yards and 5-6TDs. He isn’t a big receiving threat, so 5-10 receptions won’t get you much at all through the air.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15-20, Floor Value Positionally: 20-30

RB2: Darren Sproles – It’s tough to say how much this guy has left… He is 34 and the team has LeGarrette Blount set to carry the ball on early downs. Still, 50 receptions for 400 yards and 2-3TDs isn’t out of the question for Sproles if he can stay healthy.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 15-20, Floor Value Positionally: 25

RB3: Donnel Pumphrey/Wendell Smallwood – Neither has value – yet. They are worth monitoring, though.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 40, Floor Value Positionally: 70

Wide Receivers
WR1: Alshon Jeffery – After two extremely disappointing back-to-back seasons, fantasy worlds are hoping for a rebound by the receiver in 2017. He had awesome 2013 and 2014 seasons, pulling in 89/1421/7TDs and 85/1133/10TDs.. then he dropped just 54/807/4TDs in 2015 and 52/821/2TDs in 2016… and he missed 7 games in in 2015 and 4 games last year. Will he thrive in Philly? I think per start, sure. But, can the guy play 16 games? I say his ADP is in a good place, though, well worth the risk. He sits around 40 overall, which is where you will find Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill and Carlos Hyde types. That’s a good spot risk-wise.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 10-15, Floor Value Positionally: 20-25

WR2: Nelson Agholor – The trade (Matthews) certainly moves him into deep sleeper fantasy relevance. He isn’t a WR3 just yet, but you never know… he at least deserves a roster spot in larger fantasy leagues.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 70, Floor Value Positionally: 150

WR3: Torrey Smith – Matthews being traded out of Philly certainly helps his chances of being relevant in the deepest of leagues. But that’s it, he is only relevant, right now at least, in the deepest of leagues.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 30, Floor Value Positionally: 150

Tight Ends
TE1: Zach Ertz – While his TDs have been kinda flat so far during his first four NFL seasons, Ertz is coming off impressive back-to-back 800-yard seasons. To be exact, his last two seasons looked like 75/853/2TDs and 78/816/4TDs. I think something similar isn’t out of the question, but with so many solid mouths to feed in PHI this year (Jeffery, Matthews, T. Smith), it’s hard to imagine more than these kinds of stats. For now.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 5-10, Floor Value Positionally: 11-15

TE2: Brent Celek – Not fantasy relevant unless injury strikes Zach Ertz.
Ceiling Value Positionally: 25, Floor Value Positionally: 30-50

The rest of the NFL teams/analysis coming shortly… keep checking back!