Take a listen to Smitty and Russ Bliss talk Week 2 Fantasy Football on Russ’ Weekly Red Zone Fantasy Football Show on NBC Sports Radio 1060am. Smitty and Russ talks sleepers, busts, breakouts, trade advice, waiver wire advice and more!
Is Dak Prescott about to breakout? Is he a must-own? Listen to Smitty as he predicts huge numbers for Dak Prescott heading into the 2016 fantasy football season!
I admit, I am changing my stance on LeSean McCoy entering 2016… if you can handcuff him up, of course. Look, one thing that makes a fantasy football owner a good owner is being able to change directions. I have been so caught up worrying about a LeSean McCoy injury, I feel I could have missed out on much of the upside he still retains down in the 2.08-2.12 range in current fantasy football drafts. With an ADP in that late second-round, there is so much to like if you can back him up. I did just recently write about this during an on-going live Expert Draft, so many of you already know I’ve started to like McCoy’s current draft value, as it has even dipped into the third-round range; however, I’m liking it more and more as we enter the biggest draft week of fantasy football. Third-round value is an absolutely steal for McCoy (if backed up) and the late second-round is still full of upside (if backed up).
Now, who is the back-up? As it stands, Mike Gillislee by a small margin (according to the team), but Reggie Bush and Jonathan Williams are still both very much in the running. Talent-wise, though, I think Gillislee doesn’t miss a beat should Shady ever go down for an extended period of time, as he averaged 5.7 yards-per-carry last year when called upon. He is explosive, dynamic, can catch passes, and he’s a play maker. He even cracked the Bold Predictions List this year… Still, if I own McCoy this year, and I just drafted him in 2 out of 3 leagues that I’m currently drafting in, grab Bush and Gillislee (and keep an eye on Jonathan Williams). I know, rostering two backups is tough, as rostering one is often tough, but it’s a productive RB slot in Buffalo!
The Bills run the ball 30+ times per-game, so the lead dog in Buffalo is going to have a big 2016 fantasy football season. Shady looks good so far in the preseason, and I expect big numbers out of that Buffalo RB starter in 2016! Again, I am wrapping up three expert drafts right now, and I own LeSean McCoy (and backups) in two of those three leagues. I got Shady in the third-round in one of those drafts, and I took him in the second-round in the other. I love both teams, as he feels like a RB1, however, he cost much, much less (and is secured up with the backups).
It’s becoming pretty clear that Corey Coleman is on his way to becoming a special talent. Words like “dominating” and “fantastic” and “impressive” are consistently being used to describe his practices and scrimmage performances. One beat writer called him “dynamic” and “scintillating” after Friday night’s scrimmage, where he pulled in three deep passes from Robert Griffin III. Coleman was my early favorite out of this year’s rookie wide receiver class, and while I admittedly have bounced around a bit with he and Laquon Treadwell, it’s time to acknowledge that Coleman is flashing too much brilliance right now to ignore. With Josh Gordon still with the Browns, and with the long-term QB situation still questionable, Cleveland isn’t the most ideal place for an emerging stud WR. That said, RG3 does have some bounce-back appeal, and Josh Gordon is far from reliable, nor is he a lock to even remain with the team after this season. Check out this footage on Coleman and you should see a potential fantasy football WR1:
After watching that footage, do you notice how dominate he is within the space around him? The guy just has a natural ability to dominate both space and players in that space. He is quick, efficient and fluid. Coach Huge Jackson continues to talk the kid up, recently calling him “a fantastic player”. There are questions surrounding his long-term QB situation, and Gordon is still capable of being a fantasy WR1 himself… but, I love Coleman’s skill set and upside. I think we might be looking at a top 5-10 fantasy WR of the future if he can just get consistent QB play (something RG3 is trying to bounce-back into.
Below is a dynasty 2016 Fantasy Football Mock Draft (PPR, Dynasty, drafters were SleeperU forum users). Thanks to all who participated in this fantasy football 2016 mock draft. Note: While I had a hand in a few picks, as we just rotated picking on our SleeperU Forum, I decided to attach a one or two sentence analysis to each selection, regardless of who made the selection.
1.01 Todd Gurley – To me, there is no clearer 1.01. A handful of wide receivers deserve consideration, but this is the beast at his position.
1.02 Odell Beckham – I have a few wide receivers ahead of him, but it’s very close, so he is easily worth this grab.
1.03 Le’Veon Bell – His knee recovery is the ONLY concern. If healthy, something he still has to prove, he is right there behind Gurley.
1.04 Antonio Brown – Arguably 1.01 worthy, so this is actually great value even though it’s a top four pick.
1.05 DeAndre Hopkins – Honestly, folks, I think he has a great shot at finishing as this year’s top fantasy football wide receiver!
1.06 Julio Jones – His foot will always concern me/us, but he is a top five overall lock and worth the risk!
1.07 Allen Robinson – This is a bit high for me, even though he has the talent and situation to earn this value. Still, it feels high-risk/medium-reward vs being able to get him at the top of the second-round.
1.08 A.J. Green – I like this value, as it’s both safe and low-risk.
1.09 Doug Martin – Hard to argue this slot, and some would say he deserves to go higher. I myself worry about him failing fantasy owners again, so 1.09-2.04 seems safe to me.
1.10 Amari Cooper – I think this guy takes a HUGE step forward in 2016. You may get him a touch lower in some startups, which is good, but he is this good.
1.11 David Johnson – This guy fell far. I have him in the top five overall.
1.12 Rob Gronkowski – This is a good spot given he is getting older and this builds in some risk. Great slot.
2.01 Mike Evans – A touch high, but I’m only talking a handful of picks.
2.02 Dez Bryant – Great value, given he could explode from this spot. However, I feel 2.01-2.03 seems about right given there is risk and this builds that risk in.
2.03 Sammy Watkins – I love the receiver, he was an Upside Board (bold prediction) last year. So, clearly I love him, but I say 2.05-2.12 feels safer?
2.04 Keenan Allen – Same thing I said about Sammy Watkins above, include being on the Upside Board (bold predictions), applies here.
2.05 Zeke Elliott – I love this draft slot. He has top 1.5-1.12 upside. This feels like super low-risk right here.
2.06 Cam Newton – A tad high for me.
2.07 Andrew Luck – A tough high given ADPs right now, but I easily think he’s worth the selection. That said, use ADPs to your advantage and grab him in the third-round, not second!
2.08 Aaron Rodgers – Same thing that was said above about Andrew Luck above can apply here.
2.09 Alshon Jeffrey – Always an injury risk and I’m a touch more comfortable with him about 3-4 spots later, which means I may never own him.
2.10 Demaryius Thomas – Good value and this value has risk (QB, offensive changes?) built in.
2.11 Devontae Freeman – This is crazy-good value with little risk. He can be a top fiver overall player. The risk is built in, don’t let him fall past this slot in any upcoming draft you have. Trade for him at this value as well.
2.12 Jamaal Charles – Solid value given he could have 1-2 elite years left, and likely at least one year.
3.01 Lamar Miller – Solid value. I repeat, solid value. He has top 5-10 overall value, folks.
3.02 Adrian Peterson – Even in a dynasty league, AP commands top 25-30 overall value. He can do so much damage even if he plays just one more year.
3.03 DeMarco Murray – I like this value. In the third-round, the risk is built in. His upside is top 5-8RB value.
3.04 Jarvis Landry – Great value, as he has WR1 appeal. He might be the last WR1-capable receiver left.
3.05 Julian Edelman – Solid, but longevity is a concern.
3.06 Brandin Cooks – Solid value, but any higher and the risk starts equaling the upside. I think he could take a big step forward, or backwards, hence the conservative slotting.
3.07 Lesean McCoy – Solid value given it feels low-risk. He still has top 5RB appeal, so here is your bargain RB1 right here, folks.
3.08 Russell Wilson – A tad high. If I’m not going Luck or Rodgers, I’m waiting at QB (in dynasty).
3.09 Randall Cobb – Risky to count on him any higher, but solid value here.
3.10 Ty Hilton – His breakout last year had everything to do with the bust season out of Luck.
3.11 Jordy Nelson – Solid for 1-2 more years, which makes this about right.
3.12 Jordan Matthews – He could take a big step forward this year!
4.01 Devante Parker – I love his ability, so this isn’t too much of a stretch. I still have Landry slotted as WR1-worthy, so Parker could be a year away from this value, though.
4.02 Mark Ingram – Always capable, but always risky to count on.
4.03 Thomas Rawls – Great value given the risk is low as a fourth-drafted player. I’ve seen him in the second-round in some drafts, and this low in others. His value is hard to get a grip on, but if SEA passes on a RB in the draft, I bet his value climbs near top 25 overall or higher.
4.04 Kevin White – I need to see more before I value him here.
4.05 Kelvin Benjamin – Injury concerns until he proves otherwise.
4.06 Carlos Hyde – Great value. He could flop under Chip Kelly, which is frustrating, but if Kelly uses him properly, he has first-round appeal. So, this screams sleeper candidate and breakout.
4.07 CJ Anderson – Great value given DEN is paying him starter money. His workload should not be questioned, only his ability to stay on the field.
4.08 Matt Forte – Decent value for a runner that may post top 5-8RB numbers for one more season.
4.09 Eddie Lacy – Great value. He has his weight down and could rebound into a RB1.
4.10 Blake Bortles – Easily top 5QB worthy.
4.11 Brandon Marshall – He is getting up there… time to sell if you own him already, and if you draft him high, consider selling while he is playing well.
4.12 Michael Floyd – Tough to expect 4th-round value – yet.
I have added yet another player to our 2016 Bold Predictions list. It’s a running back, and he has top 5 overall fantasy football upside heading into 2016, and he has top 2-4RB upside for the future. Who is the player?
For those that don’t know, each and every fantasy football off-season, from January up to Week 1 kickoff, I drop 10-15 Bold Predictions, which are breakouts and sleepers that can win fantasy football championships if they explode like I think they will.
Looking for 2016 Bold Predictions? For those that don’t know, each and every fantasy football off-season, which begins now, I drop 10-15 Bold Predictions, which are breakouts and sleepers ready to explode… well, this year we are dropping more bold predictions than ever before, and we will have a new style to the bold predictions section in the coming month (so stay glued to the site!). For now, enjoy yet another new addition to the 2016 fantasy football bold predictions list: