(4/4/17) Rob Gronkowski is extremely underrated in dynasty right now. It’s tough to say how much, if any, he will be undervalued in redraft come August, but current ‘redraft’ ADP has him near the 2.12-3.01 range, which is a steal! The question is, will that value hold, or will a healthy Gronk (practicing strong) climb back into the 2.01-2.04 range before most redraft drafts ever get started? That…
It’s Week 7 and it’s time to do another dynasty mock draft for next year. Below is a 2016 Dynasty Fantasy Football Mock Draft.
This is based on a PPR format, and again, it’s dynasty, but also in a looking-forward fashion, meaning the future matters more than anything, but some drafters took Weeks 7-16 (2015) into account as well. Rounds 1 and 2, and part of 3, took place on our forums, so keep that in mind as I write this up, this was not my ranking.
Thanks to all who participated in this mock draft!
1.01 – LeVeon Bell
1.02 – Julio Jones
1.03 – Antonio Brown
1.04 – Odell Beckham Jr.
1.05 – Todd Gurley
1.06 – Rob Gronkowski
1.07 – Dez Bryant
1.08 – Andrew Luck
1.09 – AJ Green
1.10 – Eddie Lacy
1.11 – Amari Cooper
1.12 – Aaron Rodgers
Smitty’s Take: I really love the top 10 heading into next year, and I think we have a super-strong 12ish moving forward for Weeks 7-16. While I would personally have DeAndre Hopkins in the top 5-10 overall, keep in mind that this mock draft began on Saturday the 17th, so it was before DeAndre Hopkins had yet another phenomenal outing. My guess is that he would be inside the top 5-10 overall if we had waited two days to begin the mock. This is actually a good thing, as it points out how influential one single week is, even when talking about a player like Hopkins who was already climbing high in value. So, placing Hopkins inside the top 5-10 overall, then pulling up Devonta Freeman into the top 8-12 overall, and maybe knocking Amari Cooper down about 4-5 picks, I love this top 12 overall as is. I think this group of mock drafters did a great job mocking this up. I think both DeMarco Murray and LeSean McCoy command some consideration in the 10-14 overall range. My personal top 20 dynasty players, as of today, are:
1. LeVeon Bell, 2. Julio Jones, 3. Todd Gurley, 4. Antonio Brown, 5. Odell Beckham Jr., 6. Rob Gronkowski, 7. Dez Bryant, 8. DeAndre Hopkins, 9. Aaron Rodgers, 10. Andrew Luck, 11. AJ Green, 12. Devonta Freeman, 13. Eddie Lacy, 14. Amari Cooper, 15. Demaryius Thomas, 16. LeSean McCoy, 17. DeMarco Murray, 18. Melvin Gordon, 19. Carlos Hyde, 20. Josh Gordon
My guess is No. 20, Josh Gordon, is a surprise, but note that that could become the norm in 4-5 short months, or he could fall out of fantasy relevance all together. He is a risky player, but someone to keep on your trade radar right now!
2.01 – Devonta Freeman
2.02 – DeAndre Hopkins
2.03 – Demaryius Thomas
2.04 – Melvin Gordon
2.05 – Carlos Hyde
2.06 – Keenan Allen
2.07 – LeSean McCoy
2.08 – Randall Cobb
2.09 – DeMarco Murray
2.10 – Alshon Jeffery
2.11 – Allen Robinson
2.12 – Jordan Matthews
Smitty’s Take: As I said above, DeAndre Hopkins was ranked a bit low in this mock, but this mock draft began the day before Week 6 kicked off — He is pretty much a consensus, top 5-7 overall pick in all dynasty formats. Also, as said above, DeMarco Murray deserves some top 10-14 overall consideration. The rest of this round is loaded with players on the rise, players currently on the decline, and/or coming back from injury as we speak. I’m pretty sure we will see some huge value changes in players like LeSean McCoy, Carlos Hyde, Alshon Jeffery and Melvin Gordon as we close out the remainder of the 2015 fantasy football season.
3.01 – Mike Evans
3.02 – TY Hilton
…this is where the mock ended on the forums, however, I have added the remainder of the third round via a combination of rankings, personal preference and current stats.
3.03 – Adrian Peterson
3.04 – Calvin Johnson
3.05 – Matt Forte
3.06 – Jarvis Landry
3.07 – Doug Martin
3.08 – Emmanuel Sanders
3.09 – Lamar Miller
3.10 – Chris Ivory
3.11 – Marshawn Lynch
3.12 – Latavius Murray
Others: Josh Gordon, Brandon Marshall, Jeremy Hill, Travis Kelce, Tyler Eifert, TJ Yeldon, Arian Foster, Tom Brady, Giovani Bernard, Drew Brees, Greg Olsen, Justin Forsett, and many more.
Smitty’s Take: I think Adrian Peterson has at least one more elite year left, so he remains a nice bargain in dynasty, especially if you make two excellent ‘future’ type picks in rounds 1-2. Players like Calvin Johnson, Marshawn Lynch and Matt Forte will either make or break seasons in 2016, as they are falling so low, but that’s why they are falling into the third-round, because of the risk. Will we see Josh Gordon climb into the high third-round, or higher, as we near 2016? I think so! I think many are not considering the possibilities right now, and that’s normal, but it’s a good time to point this out and recommend some trade attempts! Will Chris Ivory rise or climb from his 3.10 spot? Will Latavius Murray rebound down the stretch in 2015? Will Doug Martin maintain his value that he is building on as we speak? Time will tell! Great mock, everyone!
Welcome to SleeperU, everyone! I couldn’t think of a better way to kickoff the content here at SleeperU than to immediately drop an article ranking the Top 25 Dynasty Players moving forward. The below rankings are based on pure dynasty, meaning unlimited keeper value, and they are based on PPR (points-per-reception). Enjoy.
After dropping 1,361 rushing yards, 8TDs, 83 receptions, 854 receiving yards and 3TDs, it’s hard to argue against this ranking. Soon the runner will be back from his two-game suspension, so we will truly get to see if he is ready to regain his No. 1 overall fantasy football position. Redraft or dynasty, he is the No. 1 overall-ranked player moving forward heading into Week 2.
As with LeVeon Bell above, it makes no difference, redraft or dynasty, this is the top-ranked player at his position. His foot worries me, I won’t lie, but predicting injury is a risky business. It’s riskier to predict injury than to undervalue this stud, who is fully capable of pulling in 100-110 receptions for 1,400+ yards and 12-15TDs during any given season. The only way I trade Julio away in any format, at this point, is if you can buy-low on a wide receiver also capable of being the No. 1 overall receiver in fantasy (like AJ Green) while also getting something silly-good, like a free Ameer Abdullah, or a huge upgrade at a WR3 into like a Jarvis Landry. I’ve seen these kinds of deals get done, and have recently executed one myself. Again, that’s the ONLY way I trade away Julio, but I’d trade anyone if the price is right, that’s just smart fantasy football managing.
As it stands right now, in late September, 2015, it’s quite strange how strongly I feel about the three names inside the top three. Not necessarily the order, but the names. Most seasons when I do this type of “early look” at next year’s rankings, the top three could change each time I attempt to crank out the ranking. This feels pretty locked-in… for now. Brown is worth the 1.01. All three of Brown, Le’Veon Bell and Julio Jones are equally worth the 1.01. I can see the order in which I list them being different from week to week, no doubt, but not the three names inside this top three are pretty secure if you ask me. The next player likely up could very well turn this into a locked-in top four, he is Antonio Brown capable.
This is the one player from the remaining players that I feel can jump into that top tier of players above. I think by mid-season, or at least by the end of the 2015 NFL season, we will have a relatively clear-cut top 4 overall players heading into 2016 and beyond. Now, the order of these top 4 so far can be debated, and will be all off-season (2016); but, I think the names listed above, so far, are going to be the norm heading into all 2016 fantasy football mock drafts (dynasty or redraft).
AJ Green was a doubted man heading into 2015 fantasy football drafts, and he was one of my biggest draft-low players. He was also my top early season buy-low all last week and the week prior… He had low second-round value, but easily held top 4-7 overall upside (dynasty and redraft). His Week 3 performance, where he dropped 2TDs and over 200 yards receiving, is a quick reminder he can be the top fantasy wide receiver in the league any given season. As for Dez Bryant, the foot injury has a lot of people already bumping him down, yes, even in dynasty. That’s natural. Injuries scare people, even in dynasty formats. This should be taken advantage of. Of course, you won’t exactly steal him away from current fantasy owners in dynasty, but you will likely get him a touch cheaper than normal in some leagues. Bryant easily has top 5 overall fantasy upside moving forward in dynasty, and he is capable of being the leagues’ top fantasy wide receiver during any given season. That’s safe. That’s secure. Wide receivers are a much safer/long-term bet in dynasty start-ups. Send out some trade offers now on Dez, as you might catch someone doubting merely due to the current injury (And, they might be wanting points now to win that 2015 first-place price. So, strike!).
Rob Gronkowski has clearly pulled ahead of all tight ends in fantasy football. It use to be that we had two monsters, almost three at one point, but now that Jimmy Graham has faded into the night, at least as an elite fantasy tight end, Gronk Smash is the best game in town, and that makes him top 5-10 overall worthy in all formats. So, being ranked at the 7 or 8 spot almost feels too low, but when building a fantasy football team, your team will be less balanced if you rank/draft/trade for Gronk as anything higher than No. 6 or 7 overall. As for Todd Gurley, some might feel this is too high, and this was more the case before his breakout Week 4 outing against the Cards. After that performance, though, my guess is that this ranking is looking more acceptable to those hesitant to crown him a top 1-4 overall RB of the future. Well, my friends, I think he can be as good as the 1.01 by this time next year. You heard me.
…. An update on this article can be found here.