Archive for rb

Stock Market: Buy Devonta Freeman?


Devonta Freeman :: FREE

(6/5/17) Devonta Freeman is only 25 years old. People sometimes do not realize this, as they often predict he will be replaced soon by Coleman. Tevin Coleman, a rather important handcuff for all Freeman owners, is only one year younger. Granted… Read More


Face/off: Tevin Coleman, Derrick Henry or Joe Mixon

WAIT! You have TWO simple options.

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Stock Market: Gurley, Gronk, Peterson


Rob Gronkowski, Todd Gurley & Adrian Peterson

(5/5/17) Are these three players must-have players heading into 2017? All three are extremely undervalued heading into the upcoming 2017 fantasy football season… Read More


Bold Prediction: this RB a top 1-5RB in ’17?

2017 fantasy football bold predictions smitty
smitty fantasy football advice

Ok, folks, I have just added one more 2017 Bold Prediction… it’s a RB, a runner that could easily crank out top 3-5RB numbers in 2017. I know, some of you will say, this isn’t bold. Read the write-up, as it explains that even bigger name players can get overlooked enough to help you win a league. Get some! Enjoy!

View Newest RB Bold Prediction

Marshawn Lynch a must-add in 2017?

smitty fantasy football adviceShould fantasy football worlds grab Marshawn Lynch right now? In all formats? The quick answer is yes. If you haven’t heard, there have been a ton of rumors swirling around regarding the return of Marshawn Lynch. He is currently retired, and if he returned he would technically be a Seahawk, but the Raiders have been linked to Lynch in recent news and all signs, for now, point to him eventually being a Raider (which would be huge in fantasy).

The Numbers

According to ESPN’s Sheil Kapadia, the Seahawks may be forced to cut Marshawn Lynch if he comes out of retirement. Lynch will be owed $9 million by Seattle, a figure which would take up a big amount of Seattle’s remaining $14.7 million cap space. This would limit them in free agency in the coming weeks.

The Prediction

While anything is possible, and Lynch could come out and shoot all this stuff down, he has been reportedly sporting Raider gear as of late, and many, many reports are suggesting that a return is likely. Grab him in all leagues! Make sure he isn’t sitting on waivers. What will it cost you? Your last bench guy? What could it gain you? An elite RB1, even if low-end, for one more season! Grab him!

Stock Market: Adrian Peterson a buy-low?

Adrian Peterson :: AP

(3/2/17) Adrian Peterson is on the decline value wise. Is he on the decline talent wise? Many would say he already declined, and in some ways I fear this could be true. However… Continue Reading

Changing Directions: LeSean McCoy

smitty fantasy football advice

LeSean McCoy a fantastic 2nd-Round RB?

I admit, I am changing my stance on LeSean McCoy entering 2016… if you can handcuff him up, of course. Look, one thing that makes a fantasy football owner a good owner is being able to change directions. I have been so caught up worrying about a LeSean McCoy injury, I feel I could have missed out on much of the upside he still retains down in the 2.08-2.12 range in current fantasy football drafts. With an ADP in that late second-round, there is so much to like if you can back him up. I did just recently write about this during an on-going live Expert Draft, so many of you already know I’ve started to like McCoy’s current draft value, as it has even dipped into the third-round range; however, I’m liking it more and more as we enter the biggest draft week of fantasy football. Third-round value is an absolutely steal for McCoy (if backed up) and the late second-round is still full of upside (if backed up).

Now, who is the back-up? As it stands, Mike Gillislee by a small margin (according to the team), but Reggie Bush and Jonathan Williams are still both very much in the running. Talent-wise, though, I think Gillislee doesn’t miss a beat should Shady ever go down for an extended period of time, as he averaged 5.7 yards-per-carry last year when called upon. He is explosive, dynamic, can catch passes, and he’s a play maker. He even cracked the Bold Predictions List this year… Still, if I own McCoy this year, and I just drafted him in 2 out of 3 leagues that I’m currently drafting in, grab Bush and Gillislee (and keep an eye on Jonathan Williams). I know, rostering two backups is tough, as rostering one is often tough, but it’s a productive RB slot in Buffalo!

Bottom Line

The Bills run the ball 30+ times per-game, so the lead dog in Buffalo is going to have a big 2016 fantasy football season. Shady looks good so far in the preseason, and I expect big numbers out of that Buffalo RB starter in 2016! Again, I am wrapping up three expert drafts right now, and I own LeSean McCoy (and backups) in two of those three leagues. I got Shady in the third-round in one of those drafts, and I took him in the second-round in the other. I love both teams, as he feels like a RB1, however, he cost much, much less (and is secured up with the backups).

One Deep, Deep Sleeper RB To Own!

smitty fantasy football advice

Want a Deep, Deep Sleeper Running Back heading into 2016 fantasy football drafts? Here is one runner that needs opportunity to succeed, but he has some pretty awesome hidden appeal. The risk is super-low, if not near zero, yet the reward is extremely-high.

Mike Gillislee | RB BUF

This kid is exciting. He runs hard and he has some monster stat lines despite the limited usage in 2016. Before we get into the details, look at these stat lines from 2015:

Wk Opp Ru Yds Avg TD Rec Yds TD
13 HOU 7 41 5.9 0 1 5 0
14 @PHI 3 24 8.0 1 1 6 0
15 @WAS 4 81 20.3 1 2 2 0
16 DAL 9 93 10.3 1 2 16 0
17 NYJ 24 28 1.2 0 0 0 0

As you can see, the guy averaged 5.7 yards-per-carry in 2015, and that’s even if you included his rough outing in Week 17, where he rushed 24 times for only 28 yards. Take that game out and he averaged over 10 yards-per-carry. I know, it’s a small sample size, and you can play the “take out this game and then…” game all day long with all kinds of players, but the truth is, I admit there isn’t much at all go to go on here. It kind of reminds me a lot of when we talked up Michael Turner as a top 5-10RB entering his 2007 campaign. He was about to get traded out of San Diego, but in the final hour he didn’t. We had a small sample size to go on, but I saw elite talent in both his numbers and his footage. His per-touch production was just monstrous, and while we had to wait one more season after that 2007 season, he proved us right in 2008, as he became of the best fantasy football running backs in the game for a handful of years. I am not sure what kind of opportunity exists for Gillislee entering 2016, as we don’t truly know what that Bills’ coaching staff is thinking. We do know three things, though… 1) Karlos Williams is suspended for the first four games of the 2016 NFL season, 2) The Bills run over 30 times per game, 3) LeSean McCoy is oft-injured, and has concussion risk… That second part, where the Bills run 30+ times per game, this means that Gillislee, even with a healthy LeSean McCoy, has a big stage to perform on for the first 1/4 of the season. He is the current No. 2 in Buffalo. That’s nice production right out of the gate (while NOT starting). And, given his per-touch production, I believe we ‘could’ (I repeat ‘could’) see him make a bid for being the future of that Bills’ rushing attack. Now, one fumble or injury can squash this entire thinking, and coaches can ruin all kinds of hopes in these kinds of situations. This is a deep, deep call. The talent is there, my friends, I see it. However, talent doesn’t ALWAYS translate into fantasy dominance. Trade on the cheap for the guy in dynasty and scoop him up in all redraft leagues near the very end of the draft. His ADP is non-existent in most cases, meaning no one is really drafting him – yet. McCoy owners might (and should, so be sure to grab him if you own Shady), but his risk is zero and his upside is gigantic. He is a fun stash to own in 2016!

Watch Mike Gillislee in action!

This Player has been added to the Bold Predictions List.

Week 1 Projections: Sort by Position/Team!

smitty fantasy football advice

If you haven’t checkout our Week 1 Projections for the 2016 fantasy football season, we have made some exciting additions, mainly to the sorting/filtering features.



Not only are our Projections initially organized by team and match-up, you can then filter by Position or Team, then by total points scored in PPR or Non-PPR.

1. Using the Search Box, enter RB or QB or AZ or DAL.

2. Click on either the PPR or Non-PPR Column to sort by MOST POINTS SCORED for the week.

3. View results.

This is a real screenshot as of 7/18/2016, so if you have not yet subscribed to SleeperU, enjoy the teaser (and get that membership ASAP!!!).

Checkout this new FILTER/Search option on the Weekly Projections…

A new Bold Prediction (rookie) released…

smitty fantasy football advice

Looking for 2016 Bold Predictions? For those that don’t know, each and every fantasy football season, I crank out 10-15 Bold Predictions, which are breakouts and sleepers for the upcoming (2016) fantasy football season. Sometimes these are big name players that still have big upside, and other times the players are deep, deep sleepers… this year, the predictions are organized in terms of how well know the players are. So, you’re deeper sleepers will be grouped together, as will the big name players.

The player just added is the very FIRST player (RB) at the top of the Deep, Deep Sleepers section.

fantasy football bold predictions 2016
View Bold Predictions